Pietà Hotspurs vs Naxxar Lions prediction & analysis
60%
Footrivo pick
Naxxar Lions to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNaxxar Lions to win ✗60% · @1.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.96
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.05
Pietà Hotspurs vs Naxxar Lions preview and prediction
The match
The Challenge League sees Pietà Hotspurs take on Naxxar Lions on Saturday 12 September, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT). Pietà Hotspurs are 6th with 12 points from 7 games (in the top half), while Naxxar Lions sit 3rd on 16 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Pietà Hotspurs's last 4: WWLL Most recently they beat Sirens 4–3 away. They average 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Naxxar Lions's last 5: LDDDD Most recently they lost to Mosta 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Pietà Hotspurs arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.0 for Pietà Hotspurs and 1.9 for Naxxar Lions. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score in 49% of our simulations. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Naxxar Lions to win – a 60% chance at odds of 1.70. Predicted score: Pietà Hotspurs 1–2 Naxxar Lions. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pietà Hotspurs21%fair 4.85 · @3.60
Draw20%fair 5.08 · @4.00
Naxxar Lions60%fair 1.67 · @1.70
2.98Expected goals
1.03Pietà Hotspurs xG
1.95Naxxar Lions xG
49%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–210%
0–110%
0–210%
1–36%
0–36%
From our goals model: Pietà Hotspurs 1.0 – 1.9 Naxxar Lions expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Naxxar Lions to win✗
60%
1.67
1.70
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.24
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Naxxar Lions ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Naxxar Lions / FT Naxxar Lions✗
37%
2.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.05
–
Form
Pietà Hotspurs – last 4
WWLL
12 Apr
@ Sirens
4–3
W
8 Mar
vs Melita
1–0
W
25 Feb
@ Birkirkara
0–2
L
22 Feb
vs Swieqi United
1–3
L
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Naxxar Lions – last 6
LDDDDD
10 May
vs Mosta
0–1
L
15 Apr
vs Valletta FC
1–1
D
4 Apr
@ Gzira United
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Marsaxlokk
1–1
D
4 Mar
@ Zurrieq
1–1
D
1 Mar
vs Birkirkara
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pietà Hotspurs and Naxxar Lions.
What is the prediction for Pietà Hotspurs vs Naxxar Lions?
Our pick is Naxxar Lions to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Pietà Hotspurs vs Naxxar Lions?
On our numbers Pietà Hotspurs have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Naxxar Lions 60%.
How many goals will there be in Pietà Hotspurs vs Naxxar Lions?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pietà Hotspurs vs Naxxar Lions?
Our predicted score is Pietà Hotspurs 1–2 Naxxar Lions, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Pietà Hotspurs vs Naxxar Lions?
Pietà Hotspurs vs Naxxar Lions (Challenge League) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
