Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.00 – our chance 54% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCittadella to win ✓72% · @1.36
Double chanceCittadella or draw ✓90% · @1.06
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓64% · fair 1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓19% · fair 5.22
Cittadella vs Luparense preview and prediction
The match
Luparense travel to face Cittadella in the Friendlies Clubs on Saturday 8 August (17:00 WAT).
Form guide
Cittadella's last 5: LDWDW Most recently they lost to Padova 0–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Luparense's last 5: LWDDW Most recently they lost to Este 0–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.8 for Cittadella and 0.5 for Luparense. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 36%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Under 2.5 goals at 2.00 – 54% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Cittadella to win – a 72% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Cittadella 1–0 Luparense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cittadella72%fair 1.40 · @1.36
Draw18%fair 5.55 · @4.20
Luparense10%fair 9.58 · @7.00
2.23Expected goals
1.77Cittadella xG
0.45Luparense xG
36%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–019%
2–017%
0–011%
3–010%
1–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: Cittadella 1.8 – 0.5 Luparense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cittadella to win✓
72%
1.40
1.36
Double chance
Cittadella or draw✓
90%
1.12
1.06
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
2.00 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Half-time result
Cittadella ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cittadella / FT Cittadella✗
44%
2.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
19%
5.22
–
Form
Cittadella – last 6
LDWDWW
1 Aug
vs Padova
0–2
L
29 Jul
@ Cremonese
1–1
D
25 Jul
@ Torino
1–0
W
13 May
@ Ravenna
1–1
D
6 May
vs Lumezzane
1–0
W
19 Apr
@ Novara
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Luparense – last 6
LWDDWD
3 May
@ Este
0–2
L
26 Apr
vs Vigasio
1–0
W
19 Apr
@ Conegliano
1–1
D
2 Apr
@ FC Obermais
1–1
D
22 Mar
@ Treviso
4–0
W
15 Mar
vs Altavilla
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cittadella and Luparense.
What is the prediction for Cittadella vs Luparense?
Our pick is Cittadella to win with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Cittadella vs Luparense?
On our numbers Cittadella have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Luparense 10%.
How many goals will there be in Cittadella vs Luparense?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 36% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cittadella vs Luparense?
Our predicted score is Cittadella 1–0 Luparense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Cittadella vs Luparense?
Cittadella vs Luparense (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Albacete1
Real Murcia1
Karlovac 19192
Lucko1
Real Unión1
Eibar1
Racing Santander II2
Real Avilés1
Juventus1
Inter2
Chelsea3
AC Milan0
Werder Bremen2
SC Paderborn 072
Eintracht Frankfurt2
Hull City0