Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.83 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.83Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLille to win ✗64% · @1.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✗84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.50
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.53
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.10
Hamburger SV vs Lille preview and prediction
The match
Lille travel to face Hamburger SV in the Friendlies Clubs on Saturday 8 August (14:00 WAT).
Form guide
Hamburger SV's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Everton 1–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Lille's last 5: WWLDW Most recently they beat OH Leuven 6–3 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Lille arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.8 goals: 1.3 for Hamburger SV and 2.5 for Lille. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 68% and both teams to score at 66%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Hamburger SV 20%, draw 16%, Lille 64%.
Both teams to score: yes (66%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Lille to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.83, above our fair price of 1.56, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Hamburger SV 1–2 Lille. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hamburger SV20%fair 5.06 · @3.60
Draw16%fair 6.14 · @4.00
Lille64%fair 1.56 · @1.83
3.84Expected goals
1.33Hamburger SV xG
2.51Lille xG
66%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
1–38%
1–17%
0–27%
2–26%
0–36%
From our goals model: Hamburger SV 1.3 – 2.5 Lille expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lille to win✗
64%
1.56
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
84%
1.19
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.52
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.57
Half-time result
Lille ahead at half-time
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lille / FT Lille
42%
2.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.10
–
Form
Hamburger SV – last 6
LLWLLD
1 Aug
vs Everton
1–2
L
18 Jul
@ Rapid Vienna
2–3
L
10 May
vs SC Freiburg
3–2
W
4 Mar
vs Bayer Leverkusen
0–1
L
1 Mar
vs RB Leipzig
1–2
L
20 Feb
@ FSV Mainz 05
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Lille – last 6
WWLDWL
1 Aug
@ OH Leuven
6–3
W
18 Jul
vs RAAL La Louvière
3–0
W
17 May
vs Auxerre
0–2
L
3 May
vs Le Havre
1–1
D
22 Mar
@ Marseille
2–1
W
19 Mar
@ Aston Villa
0–2
L
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hamburger SV and Lille.
Our pick is Lille to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Hamburger SV vs Lille?
On our numbers Hamburger SV have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Lille 64%.
How many goals will there be in Hamburger SV vs Lille?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hamburger SV vs Lille?
Our predicted score is Hamburger SV 1–2 Lille, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Hamburger SV vs Lille?
Hamburger SV vs Lille (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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