Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · fair 1.99
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 10.28
Al-Nassr vs Almeria preview and prediction
The match
Almeria travel to face Al-Nassr in the Friendlies Clubs on Tuesday 4 August (18:00 WAT).
Form guide
Al-Nassr's last 5: LWDWW Most recently they lost to Estrela 2–4 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 3.0 goals a game.
Almeria's last 5: LLLDW Most recently they lost to Real Betis 0–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Al-Nassr arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for Al-Nassr and 1.4 for Almeria. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al-Nassr 37%, draw 22%, Almeria 41%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 51% chance at odds of 1.80. Predicted score: Al-Nassr 1–2 Almeria. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al-Nassr37%fair 2.72 · @2.75
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.50
Almeria41%fair 2.45 · @2.15
2.64Expected goals
1.28Al-Nassr xG
1.36Almeria xG
50%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Al-Nassr 1.3 – 1.4 Almeria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Almeria to win✓
41%
2.45
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Almeria / FT Almeria✗
23%
4.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
10.28
–
Form
Al-Nassr – last 6
LWDWWW
1 Aug
@ Estrela
2–4
L
21 May
vs Damac
4–1
W
12 May
vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC
1–1
D
7 May
@ Al Shabab
4–2
W
29 Apr
vs Al-Ahli Jeddah
2–0
W
22 Apr
vs Al Ahli Doha
5–1
W
3.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Almeria – last 6
LLLDWD
1 Aug
@ Real Betis
0–1
L
29 Jul
@ Granada CF
0–2
L
20 Jun
vs Malaga
1–2
L
14 Jun
@ Malaga
0–0
D
9 Jun
vs Castellón
3–2
W
6 Jun
@ Castellón
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al-Nassr and Almeria.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Al-Nassr vs Almeria?
On our numbers Al-Nassr have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Almeria 41%.
How many goals will there be in Al-Nassr vs Almeria?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al-Nassr vs Almeria?
Our predicted score is Al-Nassr 1–2 Almeria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Al-Nassr vs Almeria?
Al-Nassr vs Almeria (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Tuesday 4 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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