Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBournemouth to win ✓63% · @1.51
Double chanceBournemouth or draw ✓85% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.56
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · @1.11
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.64
Bournemouth vs Genoa preview and prediction
The match
The Friendlies Clubs sees Bournemouth take on Genoa on Tuesday 4 August, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Bournemouth's last 5: WWDDW Most recently they beat FC Augsburg 5–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
Genoa's last 5: WDWLL Most recently they beat Leicester 1–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Bournemouth arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 2.4 for Bournemouth and 1.2 for Genoa. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 67% and both teams to score at 64%.
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Bournemouth 2–1 Genoa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bournemouth63%fair 1.58 · @1.51
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @4.40
Genoa15%fair 6.89 · @5.50
3.62Expected goals
2.45Bournemouth xG
1.17Genoa xG
64%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
2–08%
1–18%
3–18%
1–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Bournemouth 2.4 – 1.2 Genoa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bournemouth to win✓
63%
1.58
1.51
Double chance
Bournemouth or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.56
1.56
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.11
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
1.66
Half-time result
Bournemouth ahead at half-time
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bournemouth / FT Bournemouth
43%
2.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.64
–
Form
Bournemouth – last 6
WWDDWD
30 Jul
@ FC Augsburg
5–2
W
24 Jul
vs FC St. Pauli
4–1
W
24 May
@ Nottingham Forest
1–1
D
19 May
vs Manchester City
1–1
D
3 May
vs Crystal Palace
3–0
W
22 Apr
vs Leeds
2–2
D
2.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Genoa – last 6
WDWLLD
1 Aug
@ Leicester
1–0
W
25 Jul
vs Vicenza Virtus
2–2
D
19 Jul
vs Trento
2–1
W
24 May
@ Lecce
0–1
L
17 May
vs AC Milan
1–2
L
10 May
@ Fiorentina
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bournemouth and Genoa.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Bournemouth vs Genoa?
On our numbers Bournemouth have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Genoa 15%.
How many goals will there be in Bournemouth vs Genoa?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bournemouth vs Genoa?
Our predicted score is Bournemouth 2–1 Genoa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Bournemouth vs Genoa?
Bournemouth vs Genoa (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Tuesday 4 August 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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