Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMotherwell to win ✗69% · @1.28
Double chanceMotherwell or draw ✓86% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗12% · fair 8.41
Stenhousemuir vs Motherwell preview and prediction
The match
Motherwell travel to Ochilview Park in the League Cup on Sunday 16 August (14:00 WAT) to face Stenhousemuir.
Form guide
Stenhousemuir's last 5: WDDDW Most recently they beat Morton 2–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Motherwell's last 5: WDDWW Most recently they beat HJK Helsinki 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 0.8 for Stenhousemuir and 2.1 for Motherwell. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 59% and both teams to score at 56%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: Stenhousemuir 0–2 Motherwell. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Stenhousemuir14%fair 6.94 · @9.00
Draw17%fair 5.93 · @5.00
Motherwell69%fair 1.46 · @1.28
2.95Expected goals
0.82Stenhousemuir xG
2.13Motherwell xG
56%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–212%
0–111%
1–210%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Stenhousemuir 0.8 – 2.1 Motherwell expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Motherwell to win✗
69%
1.46
1.28
Double chance
Motherwell or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.02
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.55
Half-time result
Motherwell ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Motherwell / FT Motherwell✗
44%
2.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
12%
8.41
–
Form
Stenhousemuir – last 6
WDDDWW
8 Aug
vs Morton
2–0
W
1 Aug
@ Raith Rovers
1–1
D
25 Jul
vs Livingston
0–0
D
21 Jul
@ Partick
2–2
D
18 Jul
@ Brechin
2–1
W
11 Jul
vs Forfar Athletic
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Motherwell – last 6
WDDWWW
13 Aug
vs HJK Helsinki
2–0
W
9 Aug
vs Falkirk
0–0
D
6 Aug
@ HJK Helsinki
1–1
D
2 Aug
@ Hibernian
2–1
W
30 Jul
@ HB Torshavn
3–0
W
23 Jul
vs HB Torshavn
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Stenhousemuir and Motherwell.
What is the prediction for Stenhousemuir vs Motherwell?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Stenhousemuir vs Motherwell?
On our numbers Stenhousemuir have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Motherwell 69%.
How many goals will there be in Stenhousemuir vs Motherwell?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stenhousemuir vs Motherwell?
Our predicted score is Stenhousemuir 0–2 Motherwell, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Stenhousemuir vs Motherwell?
Stenhousemuir vs Motherwell (League Cup) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Ochilview Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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