Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Aris to win @ 1.95 – our chance 62% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAris to win ✓62% · @1.95
Double chanceAris or draw ✓83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗10% · fair 9.75
Olympiakos vs Aris preview and prediction
The match
Aris travel to GSP Stadium in the 1. Division on Sunday 11 October (17:00 WAT) to face Olympiakos. Olympiakos are 9th with 9 points from 9 games (in the bottom half), while Aris sit 7th on 15 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Olympiakos's last 5: DDDDW Most recently they drew with Omonia Aradippou 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Aris's last 5: LDWLD Most recently they lost to Riga 1–2 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.0 for Olympiakos and 2.0 for Aris. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 58% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Olympiakos 17%, draw 21%, Aris 62%.
Safer route: Aris or draw (83%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Aris to win at 1.95 – 62% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Aris or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.21, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Olympiakos 0–2 Aris. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Olympiakos17%fair 5.74 · @3.40
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @3.20
Aris62%fair 1.61 · @1.95
3.00Expected goals
0.97Olympiakos xG
2.03Aris xG
58%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–210%
0–110%
1–210%
1–110%
0–37%
1–37%
From our goals model: Olympiakos 1.0 – 2.0 Aris expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aris to win✓
62%
1.61
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Aris or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.74
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Aris ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aris / FT Aris✓
40%
2.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
10%
9.75
–
Form
Olympiakos – last 6
DDDDWL
20 Sep
@ Omonia Aradippou
1–1
D
13 Sep
vs Omonia 29is Maiou
3–3
D
7 Sep
@ Pafos
0–0
D
28 Aug
vs Nea Salamis
3–3
D
1 May
vs Omonia Aradippou
2–1
W
26 Apr
@ Ethnikos Achna
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Aris – last 6
LDWLDL
3 Oct
vs Riga
1–2
L
20 Sep
vs Karmiotissa
0–0
D
14 Sep
@ Krasava Ypsonas
1–0
W
7 Sep
vs Omonia Nicosia
1–4
L
29 Aug
vs Apollon Limassol
2–2
D
9 Aug
@ Union Berlin
2–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Olympiakos and Aris.
Our pick is Aris or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Olympiakos vs Aris?
On our numbers Olympiakos have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Aris 62%.
How many goals will there be in Olympiakos vs Aris?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Olympiakos vs Aris?
Our predicted score is Olympiakos 0–2 Aris, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Olympiakos vs Aris?
Olympiakos vs Aris (1. Division) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at GSP Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
