Value bet: Not both teams to score @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPafos to win ✓69% · @1.50
Double chancePafos or draw ✓91% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗58% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗19% · fair 5.37
Anorthosis vs Pafos preview and prediction
The match
Pafos travel to Antonis Papadopoulos in the 1. Division on Sunday 11 October (16:00 WAT) to face Anorthosis. Anorthosis are 11th with 6 points from 9 games (in the bottom half), while Pafos sit 6th on 16 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Anorthosis's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Nea Salamis 0–3 away. They average 1.0 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Pafos's last 5: LWDWW Most recently they lost to AEL 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Pafos arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 21 February 2026, finished Pafos 0–0 Anorthosis.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 0.5 for Anorthosis and 1.8 for Pafos. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 42%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Anorthosis 9%, draw 22%, Pafos 69%.
Both teams to score: no (58%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Not both teams to score at 1.85 – 58% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Pafos to win – a 69% chance at odds of 1.50, above our fair price of 1.46, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Anorthosis 0–1 Pafos. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Anorthosis9%fair 10.74 · @5.50
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.80
Pafos69%fair 1.46 · @1.50
2.25Expected goals
0.48Anorthosis xG
1.77Pafos xG
42%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–119%
0–216%
0–011%
0–310%
1–19%
1–28%
From our goals model: Anorthosis 0.5 – 1.8 Pafos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Pafos to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Anorthosis vs Pafos?
On our numbers Anorthosis have a 9% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Pafos 69%.
How many goals will there be in Anorthosis vs Pafos?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Anorthosis vs Pafos?
Our predicted score is Anorthosis 0–1 Pafos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Anorthosis vs Pafos?
Anorthosis vs Pafos (1. Division) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Antonis Papadopoulos.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
