Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPafos to win ✓68% · @1.20
Double chancePafos or draw ✓90% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗11% · fair 8.92
Karmiotissa vs Pafos preview and prediction
The match
The 1. Division sees Karmiotissa take on Pafos on Sunday 30 August, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT) at Dimotiko Stadio Pano Polemidias. Karmiotissa are 12th with 6 points from 9 games (in the bottom three), while Pafos sit 6th on 16 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Karmiotissa's last 5: DWWWL Most recently they drew with PAEEK 0–0 away. At home they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Pafos's last 5: DDDLW Most recently they drew with Dinamo Tirana 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Karmiotissa arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 0.9 for Karmiotissa and 2.3 for Pafos. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score in 57% of our simulations.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.95 – 57% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Pafos to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Karmiotissa 0–2 Pafos. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Karmiotissa10%fair 10.32 · @12.00
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @5.40
Pafos68%fair 1.46 · @1.20
3.20Expected goals
0.85Karmiotissa xG
2.35Pafos xG
57%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–211%
1–210%
0–110%
0–39%
1–18%
1–37%
From our goals model: Karmiotissa 0.9 – 2.3 Pafos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pafos to win✓
68%
1.46
1.20
Double chance
Pafos or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.77
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.60
Half-time result
Pafos ahead at half-time✓
52%
1.93
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pafos / FT Pafos✓
47%
2.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
11%
8.92
–
Form
Karmiotissa – last 6
DWWWLW
24 Apr
@ PAEEK
0–0
D
19 Apr
vs Nea Salamis
1–0
W
18 Mar
vs Ayia Napa
3–0
W
28 Feb
vs PAEEK
2–1
W
21 Feb
@ Nea Salamis
0–1
L
13 Feb
vs ASIL Lysi
5–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Pafos – last 6
DDDLWL
27 Aug
vs Dinamo Tirana
2–2
D
20 Aug
@ Dinamo Tirana
1–1
D
13 Aug
vs Red Bull Salzburg
3–3
D
6 Aug
@ Red Bull Salzburg
0–1
L
30 Jul
vs HNK Hajduk Split
2–0
W
23 Jul
@ HNK Hajduk Split
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Karmiotissa and Pafos.
Our pick is Pafos to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Karmiotissa vs Pafos?
On our numbers Karmiotissa have a 10% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Pafos 68%.
How many goals will there be in Karmiotissa vs Pafos?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Karmiotissa vs Pafos?
Our predicted score is Karmiotissa 0–2 Pafos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Karmiotissa vs Pafos?
Karmiotissa vs Pafos (1. Division) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Dimotiko Stadio Pano Polemidias.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
