Value bet: Anorthosis to win @ 3.40 – our chance 38% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +30%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAnorthosis to win ✗38% · @3.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.21
AEL vs Anorthosis preview and prediction
The match
The 1. Division sees AEL take on Anorthosis on Sunday 30 August, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Alphamega Stadium. AEL are 3rd with 18 points from 9 games (in the top four), while Anorthosis sit 11th on 6 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
AEL's last 5: WDLLW Most recently they beat Krasava Odintsovo 4–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Anorthosis's last 5: LDWWD Most recently they lost to Apoel Nicosia 1–3 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 27 April 2026, finished AEL 0–1 Anorthosis.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for AEL and 1.2 for Anorthosis. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: AEL 38%, draw 24%, Anorthosis 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Anorthosis to win at 3.40 – 38% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: AEL 1–1 Anorthosis. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
AEL38%fair 2.66 · @2.05
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.20
Anorthosis38%fair 2.61 · @3.40
2.42Expected goals
1.20AEL xG
1.21Anorthosis xG
56%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: AEL 1.2 – 1.2 Anorthosis expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win AEL vs Anorthosis?
On our numbers AEL have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Anorthosis 38%.
How many goals will there be in AEL vs Anorthosis?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AEL vs Anorthosis?
Our predicted score is AEL 1–1 Anorthosis, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is AEL vs Anorthosis?
AEL vs Anorthosis (1. Division) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Alphamega Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
