Value bet: Aris to win @ 2.40 – our chance 48% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAris to win ✗48% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.33
Aris vs Apollon Limassol preview and prediction
The match
Apollon Limassol travel to Alphamega Stadium in the 1. Division on Saturday 29 August (18:00 WAT) to face Aris. Aris are 7th with 15 points from 9 games (in the top half), while Apollon Limassol sit 5th on 16 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Aris's last 5: LWLWD Most recently they lost to Union Berlin 2–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Apollon Limassol's last 5: LWWWD Most recently they lost to Brann 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Apollon Limassol arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.
Value angle: Aris to win at 2.40 – 48% on our numbers against 42% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Either team to win – a 78% chance at odds of 1.33, above our fair price of 1.28, so there is value in it. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Aris48%fair 2.07 · @2.40
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.10
Apollon Limassol30%fair 3.37 · @2.62
Most likely scores
Goal projections appear once goal data is in.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aris to win✗
48%
2.07
2.40 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.33
Form
Aris – last 6
LWLWDL
9 Aug
@ Union Berlin
2–3
L
18 Jul
@ Legia Warszawa
2–0
W
22 May
vs AEK Larnaca
3–4
L
6 May
vs Apoel Nicosia
1–0
W
14 Apr
vs Pafos
1–1
D
5 Apr
@ Apoel Nicosia
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Apollon Limassol – last 6
LWWWDW
11 Aug
vs Brann
1–2
L
5 Aug
@ Brann
1–0
W
28 Jul
vs Dila
3–0
W
23 Jul
@ Dila
4–0
W
16 Jul
vs AEK Larnaca
0–0
D
11 Jul
@ GO Ahead Eagles
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aris and Apollon Limassol.
What is the prediction for Aris vs Apollon Limassol?
Our pick is Either team to win with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Aris vs Apollon Limassol?
On our numbers Aris have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Apollon Limassol 30%.
When is Aris vs Apollon Limassol?
Aris vs Apollon Limassol (1. Division) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Alphamega Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
