AEK Larnaca vs Apoel Nicosia prediction & analysis
86%
Footrivo pick
AEK Larnaca or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: AEK Larnaca to win @ 1.85 – our chance 64% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAEK Larnaca to win ✓64% · @1.85
Double chanceAEK Larnaca or draw ✓86% · @1.22
AEK Larnaca vs Apoel Nicosia preview and prediction
The match
Apoel Nicosia travel to AEK Arena in the 1. Division on Saturday 29 August (17:00 WAT) to face AEK Larnaca. AEK Larnaca are 1st with 20 points from 9 games (top of the table), while Apoel Nicosia sit 4th on 17 points (in the top four). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
AEK Larnaca's last 5: LWLDL Most recently they lost to Omonia Aradippou 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Apoel Nicosia's last 5: WDLLL Most recently they beat Anorthosis 3–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Value angle: AEK Larnaca to win at 1.85 – 64% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was AEK Larnaca or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
AEK Larnaca64%fair 1.56 · @1.85
Draw21%fair 4.65 · @3.10
Apoel Nicosia14%fair 7.00 · @3.90
Most likely scores
Goal projections appear once goal data is in.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AEK Larnaca to win✓
64%
1.56
1.85 ▲
Double chance
AEK Larnaca or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.22
Form
AEK Larnaca – last 6
LWLDLL
8 Aug
vs Omonia Aradippou
0–1
L
30 Jul
@ Beitar Jerusalem
3–2
W
23 Jul
vs Beitar Jerusalem
0–1
L
16 Jul
@ Apollon Limassol
0–0
D
10 Jul
@ Ajax
0–1
L
7 Jul
@ PAOK
2–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Apoel Nicosia – last 6
WDLLLD
16 Aug
@ Anorthosis
3–1
W
8 Aug
vs Kifisia
2–2
D
31 Jul
@ Fortuna Sittard
1–2
L
22 May
@ Pafos
0–2
L
6 May
@ Aris
0–1
L
29 Apr
vs Apollon Limassol
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AEK Larnaca and Apoel Nicosia.
What is the prediction for AEK Larnaca vs Apoel Nicosia?
Our pick is AEK Larnaca or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win AEK Larnaca vs Apoel Nicosia?
On our numbers AEK Larnaca have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Apoel Nicosia 14%.
When is AEK Larnaca vs Apoel Nicosia?
AEK Larnaca vs Apoel Nicosia (1. Division) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at AEK Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
