Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: NEOM to win @ 1.75 – our chance 65% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNEOM to win ✗65% · @1.75
Double chanceNEOM or draw ✗86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.26
NEOM vs Al-Ettifaq preview and prediction
The match
NEOM host Al-Ettifaq in the Pro League on Saturday 17 October, with kick-off at 16:40 (WAT) at King Khalid Sports City. NEOM are 5th with 22 points from 12 games (in the top half), while Al-Ettifaq sit 7th on 19 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
NEOM's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Al Sha'ab Hadhramaut 4–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Al-Ettifaq's last 5: WDDDW Most recently they beat Kazma 2–0 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
NEOM arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 21 May 2026, finished NEOM 1–1 Al-Ettifaq.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.0 for NEOM and 0.8 for Al-Ettifaq. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: NEOM 65%, draw 20%, Al-Ettifaq 14%.
Safer route: NEOM or draw (86%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.57.
Value angle: NEOM to win at 1.75 – 65% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was NEOM or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: NEOM 2–0 Al-Ettifaq. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
NEOM65%fair 1.53 · @1.75
Draw20%fair 4.92 · @3.40
Al-Ettifaq14%fair 7.05 · @3.60
2.81Expected goals
2.01NEOM xG
0.80Al-Ettifaq xG
56%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: NEOM 2.0 – 0.8 Al-Ettifaq expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is NEOM or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win NEOM vs Al-Ettifaq?
On our numbers NEOM have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Al-Ettifaq 14%.
How many goals will there be in NEOM vs Al-Ettifaq?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for NEOM vs Al-Ettifaq?
Our predicted score is NEOM 2–0 Al-Ettifaq, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is NEOM vs Al-Ettifaq?
NEOM vs Al-Ettifaq (Pro League) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 16:40 (West Africa Time) at King Khalid Sports City.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
