Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Al Diriyah to win @ 1.80 – our chance 61% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl Diriyah to win ✗61% · @1.80
Double chanceAl Diriyah or draw ✓83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.31
Al Diriyah vs Al Taawon preview and prediction
The match
Al Diriyah host Al Taawon in the Pro League on Saturday 17 October, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at Prince Turki bin Abdul Aziz Stadium. Al Diriyah are 8th with 15 points from 12 games (in the top half), while Al Taawon sit 17th on 5 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Al Diriyah's last 5: LDWLW Most recently they lost to Al-Nassr 0–3 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Al Taawon's last 5: WLDLL Most recently they beat Al-Rayyan SC 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.5 for Al Diriyah and 0.6 for Al Taawon. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al Diriyah 61%, draw 22%, Al Taawon 17%.
Safer route: Al Diriyah or draw (83%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Al Diriyah to win at 1.80 – 61% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Al Diriyah or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.20, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Al Diriyah 1–0 Al Taawon. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al Diriyah61%fair 1.63 · @1.80
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.30
Al Taawon17%fair 5.98 · @3.60
2.06Expected goals
1.48Al Diriyah xG
0.58Al Taawon xG
55%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–019%
2–014%
0–013%
1–111%
2–18%
0–17%
From our goals model: Al Diriyah 1.5 – 0.6 Al Taawon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Diriyah to win✗
61%
1.63
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Al Diriyah or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Diriyah / FT Al Diriyah✗
36%
2.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
19%
5.31
–
Form
Al Diriyah – last 6
LDWLWD
9 Oct
@ Al-Nassr
0–3
L
13 Sep
vs Abha
0–0
D
9 Sep
@ Al-Fateh
2–1
W
3 Sep
vs Al-Qadisiyah FC
0–2
L
29 Aug
@ Al-Ettifaq
3–0
W
26 Aug
vs Al Kholood
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Al Taawon – last 6
WLDLLD
14 Oct
vs Al-Rayyan SC
2–1
W
11 Oct
@ Al Shabab
0–3
L
16 Sep
@ Al-Nahda
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC
0–6
L
8 Sep
@ Al-Hazm
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs Al-Fateh
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Diriyah and Al Taawon.
What is the prediction for Al Diriyah vs Al Taawon?
Our pick is Al Diriyah or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Al Diriyah vs Al Taawon?
On our numbers Al Diriyah have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Al Taawon 17%.
How many goals will there be in Al Diriyah vs Al Taawon?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Diriyah vs Al Taawon?
Our predicted score is Al Diriyah 1–0 Al Taawon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Al Diriyah vs Al Taawon?
Al Diriyah vs Al Taawon (Pro League) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Prince Turki bin Abdul Aziz Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
