Abha travel to King Saud University Stadium in the Pro League on Wednesday 9 September (19:00 WAT) to face Al-Nassr. Al-Nassr are 3rd with 28 points from 11 games (in the top four), while Abha sit 18th on 3 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 25 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Al-Nassr's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Al-Ittihad FC 1–2 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.8 per game.
Abha's last 5: LLDLD Most recently they lost to Al-Ettifaq 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Al-Nassr arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.7 for Al-Nassr and 0.8 for Abha. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 70% and both teams to score at 56%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al-Nassr 75%, draw 17%, Abha 8%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Al-Nassr 3–0 Abha. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al-Nassr75%fair 1.33 · @1.18
Draw17%fair 5.86 · @6.75
Abha8%fair 13.33 · @14.00
3.52Expected goals
2.69Al-Nassr xG
0.82Abha xG
56%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
3–010%
2–19%
1–08%
3–18%
1–17%
From our goals model: Al-Nassr 2.7 – 0.8 Abha expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al-Nassr to win✓
75%
1.33
1.18
Double chance
Al-Nassr or draw✓
92%
1.08
1.03
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.16
1.09
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.30
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
50%
1.99
2.00
Half-time result
Al-Nassr ahead at half-time✓
57%
1.75
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al-Nassr / FT Al-Nassr✓
53%
1.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
9.28
–
Form
Al-Nassr – last 6
LWWWWW
5 Sep
@ Al-Ittihad FC
1–2
L
28 Aug
vs Al Taawon
2–1
W
25 Aug
@ Al-Ettifaq
3–2
W
21 Aug
@ Al Riyadh
4–0
W
18 Aug
@ Al Diriyah
4–1
W
15 Aug
vs Al-Fateh
3–0
W
2.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Abha – last 6
LLDLDL
4 Sep
vs Al-Ettifaq
0–1
L
28 Aug
@ Al-Fayha
2–3
L
25 Aug
vs Al Khaleej Saihat
1–1
D
22 Aug
@ Al-Ahli Jeddah
0–4
L
16 Aug
@ Al Orubah
0–0
D
13 Aug
vs Al-Hazm
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al-Nassr and Abha.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Al-Nassr vs Abha?
On our numbers Al-Nassr have a 75% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Abha 8%.
How many goals will there be in Al-Nassr vs Abha?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al-Nassr vs Abha?
Our predicted score is Al-Nassr 3–0 Abha, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Al-Nassr vs Abha?
Al-Nassr vs Abha (Pro League) kicks off on Wednesday 9 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at King Saud University Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
