Value bet: Al Diriyah to win @ 1.90 – our chance 65% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl Diriyah to win ✓65% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 5.89
Al-Fateh vs Al Diriyah preview and prediction
The match
Al Diriyah travel to Al Fateh club stadium in the Pro League on Wednesday 9 September (19:00 WAT) to face Al-Fateh. Al-Fateh are 16th with 6 points from 12 games (in the bottom three), while Al Diriyah sit 8th on 15 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Al-Fateh's last 5: DDDLL Most recently they drew with Al Taawon 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game.
Al Diriyah's last 5: LWDWL Most recently they lost to Al-Qadisiyah FC 0–2 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Al Diriyah arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 0.7 for Al-Fateh and 1.6 for Al Diriyah. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al-Fateh 21%, draw 15%, Al Diriyah 65%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Al Diriyah to win at 1.90 – 65% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.45, above our fair price of 1.36, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Al-Fateh 0–1 Al Diriyah. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al-Fateh21%fair 4.79 · @3.65
Draw15%fair 6.87 · @3.70
Al Diriyah65%fair 1.55 · @1.90
2.22Expected goals
0.66Al-Fateh xG
1.56Al Diriyah xG
55%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–117%
0–213%
1–111%
0–011%
1–29%
1–07%
From our goals model: Al-Fateh 0.7 – 1.6 Al Diriyah expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Diriyah to win✓
65%
1.55
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
85%
1.17
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.80
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
2.15 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.45 ▲
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Diriyah / FT Al Diriyah✓
36%
2.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
17%
5.89
–
Form
Al-Fateh – last 6
DDDLLL
5 Sep
@ Al Taawon
0–0
D
29 Aug
vs Al-Ittihad FC
0–0
D
26 Aug
@ Al-Faisaly FC
1–1
D
22 Aug
vs Al-Ettifaq
0–1
L
19 Aug
@ Al Ula
0–3
L
15 Aug
@ Al-Nassr
0–3
L
0.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Al Diriyah – last 6
LWDWLL
3 Sep
vs Al-Qadisiyah FC
0–2
L
29 Aug
@ Al-Ettifaq
3–0
W
26 Aug
vs Al Kholood
1–1
D
21 Aug
@ Al-Hazm
1–0
W
18 Aug
vs Al-Nassr
1–4
L
13 Aug
vs Al-Ahli Jeddah
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al-Fateh and Al Diriyah.
What is the prediction for Al-Fateh vs Al Diriyah?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Al-Fateh vs Al Diriyah?
On our numbers Al-Fateh have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Al Diriyah 65%.
How many goals will there be in Al-Fateh vs Al Diriyah?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al-Fateh vs Al Diriyah?
Our predicted score is Al-Fateh 0–1 Al Diriyah, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Al-Fateh vs Al Diriyah?
Al-Fateh vs Al Diriyah (Pro League) kicks off on Wednesday 9 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Al Fateh club stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
