Value bet: Al-Hazm to win @ 3.45 – our chance 34% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl Diriyah to win ✓46% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓11% · fair 8.70
Al-Hazm vs Al Diriyah preview and prediction
The match
Al-Hazm host Al Diriyah in the Pro League on Friday 21 August, with kick-off at 17:15 (WAT) at Al-Hazem Club Stadium. Al-Hazm are 14th with 10 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Al Diriyah sit 8th on 15 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Al-Hazm's last 5: WWWLD Most recently they beat Al Bukayriyah 3–2 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Al Diriyah's last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to Al-Nassr 1–4 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.1 for Al-Hazm and 1.4 for Al Diriyah. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al-Hazm 34%, draw 21%, Al Diriyah 46%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.55.
Value angle: Al-Hazm to win at 3.45 – 34% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.48, above our fair price of 1.42, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Al-Hazm 1–1 Al Diriyah. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al-Hazm34%fair 2.96 · @3.45
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @3.55
Al Diriyah46%fair 2.19 · @2.00
2.47Expected goals
1.11Al-Hazm xG
1.36Al Diriyah xG
59%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%
From our goals model: Al-Hazm 1.1 – 1.4 Al Diriyah expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Diriyah to win✓
46%
2.19
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.98
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.48
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Diriyah / FT Al Diriyah✓
25%
4.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
11%
8.70
–
Form
Al-Hazm – last 6
WWWLDW
16 Aug
@ Al Bukayriyah
3–2
W
13 Aug
@ Abha
2–1
W
21 May
vs Al Taawon
2–0
W
14 May
@ Al-Qadisiyah FC
0–2
L
28 Apr
@ NEOM
1–1
D
24 Apr
vs Al Riyadh
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Al Diriyah – last 6
LLWWWW
18 Aug
vs Al-Nassr
1–4
L
13 Aug
vs Al-Ahli Jeddah
0–1
L
23 Jul
vs FA 2000
2–0
W
18 Jul
@ Trelleborg
4–1
W
18 May
vs Al Jabalain
3–0
W
14 May
vs Al Bukayriyah
3–2
W
2.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al-Hazm and Al Diriyah.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Al-Hazm vs Al Diriyah?
On our numbers Al-Hazm have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Al Diriyah 46%.
How many goals will there be in Al-Hazm vs Al Diriyah?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al-Hazm vs Al Diriyah?
Our predicted score is Al-Hazm 1–1 Al Diriyah, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Al-Hazm vs Al Diriyah?
Al-Hazm vs Al Diriyah (Pro League) kicks off on Friday 21 August 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at Al-Hazem Club Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
