Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Police Tero to win @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultPolice Tero to win ✓55% · @1.95
Double chancePolice Tero or draw ✓82% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.39
Police Tero vs Kasetsart FC preview and prediction
The match
Police Tero host Kasetsart FC in the Thai League 2 on Saturday 17 October, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT) at Boonyachinda Stadium. Police Tero are 15th with 10 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Kasetsart FC sit 18th on 5 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Police Tero's last 5: LDLLW Most recently they lost to Kanchanaburi 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Kasetsart FC's last 5: WLDLL Most recently they beat Mahasarakham United 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Police Tero arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 27 February 2026, finished Police Tero 1–1 Kasetsart FC.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.4 for Police Tero and 0.6 for Kasetsart FC. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Police Tero 55%, draw 27%, Kasetsart FC 18%.
Safer route: Police Tero or draw (82%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Police Tero to win at 1.95 – 55% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Police Tero or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.21, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Police Tero 1–0 Kasetsart FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Police Tero55%fair 1.80 · @1.95
Draw27%fair 3.71 · @2.90
Kasetsart FC18%fair 5.70 · @3.50
2.00Expected goals
1.37Police Tero xG
0.63Kasetsart FC xG
50%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–019%
0–014%
2–013%
1–112%
0–18%
2–18%
From our goals model: Police Tero 1.4 – 0.6 Kasetsart FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Police Tero vs Kasetsart FC?
Our pick is Police Tero or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Police Tero vs Kasetsart FC?
On our numbers Police Tero have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Kasetsart FC 18%.
How many goals will there be in Police Tero vs Kasetsart FC?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Police Tero vs Kasetsart FC?
Our predicted score is Police Tero 1–0 Kasetsart FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Police Tero vs Kasetsart FC?
Police Tero vs Kasetsart FC (Thai League 2) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Boonyachinda Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
