Nakhon Pathom vs Nong Bua Pitchaya preview and prediction
The match
Nong Bua Pitchaya travel to Nakhon Pathom Municipality Stadium in the Thai League 2 on Saturday 17 October (12:00 WAT) to face Nakhon Pathom. Nakhon Pathom are 8th with 14 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Nong Bua Pitchaya sit 3rd on 18 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Nakhon Pathom's last 5: LWDDD Most recently they lost to Chanthaburi 0–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Nong Bua Pitchaya's last 5: WDWDL Most recently they beat Chiangmai United 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Nong Bua Pitchaya arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 March 2026, finished Nakhon Pathom 3–1 Nong Bua Pitchaya.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.1 for Nakhon Pathom and 1.4 for Nong Bua Pitchaya. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 55%.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 55% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.82, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Nakhon Pathom 1–1 Nong Bua Pitchaya. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nakhon Pathom32%fair 3.11 · @3.20
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @2.75
Nong Bua Pitchaya44%fair 2.28 · @2.20
2.50Expected goals
1.13Nakhon Pathom xG
1.37Nong Bua Pitchaya xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%
From our goals model: Nakhon Pathom 1.1 – 1.4 Nong Bua Pitchaya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Nakhon Pathom vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Nakhon Pathom vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?
On our numbers Nakhon Pathom have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Nong Bua Pitchaya 44%.
How many goals will there be in Nakhon Pathom vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nakhon Pathom vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?
Our predicted score is Nakhon Pathom 1–1 Nong Bua Pitchaya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Nakhon Pathom vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?
Nakhon Pathom vs Nong Bua Pitchaya (Thai League 2) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Nakhon Pathom Municipality Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
