Chanthaburi vs Nakhon Pathom prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Chanthaburi to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.83 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.83Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultChanthaburi to win ✓63% · @1.83
Double chanceChanthaburi or draw ✓88% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗24% · fair 4.12
Chanthaburi vs Nakhon Pathom preview and prediction
The match
Nakhon Pathom travel to Chanthaburi Stadium in the Thai League 2 on Wednesday 14 October (12:30 WAT) to face Chanthaburi. Chanthaburi are 14th with 10 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Nakhon Pathom sit 8th on 14 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Chanthaburi's last 5: DLWDL Most recently they drew with Nong Bua Pitchaya 0–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Nakhon Pathom's last 5: WDDDD Most recently they beat Muangthong United 1–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.7 goals: 1.3 for Chanthaburi and 0.4 for Nakhon Pathom. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 76% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Chanthaburi to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.83, above our fair price of 1.58, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Chanthaburi 1–0 Nakhon Pathom. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chanthaburi63%fair 1.58 · @1.83
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @2.90
Nakhon Pathom12%fair 8.22 · @4.33
1.70Expected goals
1.33Chanthaburi xG
0.37Nakhon Pathom xG
45%Both score
24%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–024%
0–018%
2–016%
1–19%
3–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Chanthaburi 1.3 – 0.4 Nakhon Pathom expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chanthaburi to win✓
63%
1.58
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Chanthaburi or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.80
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
52%
1.92
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chanthaburi / FT Chanthaburi✓
36%
2.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
24%
4.12
–
Form
Chanthaburi – last 6
DLWDLD
11 Oct
vs Nong Bua Pitchaya
0–0
D
20 Sep
@ Uttaradit
3–4
L
17 Sep
vs Kasetsart FC
2–0
W
13 Sep
@ Kanchanaburi
0–0
D
5 Sep
vs Khon Kaen United
0–1
L
4 Apr
@ Songkhla
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Nakhon Pathom – last 6
WDDDDL
10 Oct
vs Muangthong United
1–0
W
20 Sep
@ Kasetsart FC
0–0
D
16 Sep
vs Kanchanaburi
1–1
D
13 Sep
@ Phrae United
0–0
D
5 Sep
vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC
2–2
D
19 Apr
vs Bangkok
0–3
L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chanthaburi and Nakhon Pathom.
What is the prediction for Chanthaburi vs Nakhon Pathom?
Our pick is Chanthaburi to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Chanthaburi vs Nakhon Pathom?
On our numbers Chanthaburi have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Nakhon Pathom 12%.
How many goals will there be in Chanthaburi vs Nakhon Pathom?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 24% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chanthaburi vs Nakhon Pathom?
Our predicted score is Chanthaburi 1–0 Nakhon Pathom, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Chanthaburi vs Nakhon Pathom?
Chanthaburi vs Nakhon Pathom (Thai League 2) kicks off on Wednesday 14 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Chanthaburi Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
