Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Chiangmai United prediction & analysis
83%
Footrivo pick
Nong Bua Pitchaya or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNong Bua Pitchaya to win ✓61% · @1.70
Double chanceNong Bua Pitchaya or draw ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.22
Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Chiangmai United preview and prediction
The match
Chiangmai United travel to Pitchaya Stadium in the Thai League 2 on Wednesday 14 October (12:00 WAT) to face Nong Bua Pitchaya. Nong Bua Pitchaya are 3rd with 18 points from 10 games (in the top four), while Chiangmai United sit 11th on 13 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Nong Bua Pitchaya's last 5: DWDLW Most recently they drew with Chanthaburi 0–0 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Chiangmai United's last 5: WLWWL Most recently they beat Kasetsart FC 2–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.8 for Nong Bua Pitchaya and 0.9 for Chiangmai United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 56%.
Safer route: Nong Bua Pitchaya or draw (83%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Nong Bua Pitchaya or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Nong Bua Pitchaya 1–0 Chiangmai United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nong Bua Pitchaya61%fair 1.65 · @1.70
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.60
Chiangmai United17%fair 5.91 · @3.80
2.70Expected goals
1.84Nong Bua Pitchaya xG
0.86Chiangmai United xG
56%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Nong Bua Pitchaya 1.8 – 0.9 Chiangmai United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nong Bua Pitchaya to win✓
61%
1.65
1.70
Double chance
Nong Bua Pitchaya or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.77
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
–
Half-time result
Nong Bua Pitchaya ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nong Bua Pitchaya / FT Nong Bua Pitchaya✗
38%
2.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.22
–
Form
Nong Bua Pitchaya – last 6
DWDLWL
11 Oct
@ Chanthaburi
0–0
D
19 Sep
vs Satun
4–3
W
16 Sep
@ Uttaradit
2–2
D
12 Sep
@ Muangthong United
1–2
L
6 Sep
vs Kasetsart FC
2–0
W
3 May
@ Police Tero
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Chiangmai United – last 6
WLWWLL
10 Oct
vs Kasetsart FC
2–0
W
19 Sep
@ Muangthong United
0–1
L
15 Sep
vs Khon Kaen United
3–1
W
12 Sep
@ Nakhon Ratchasima FC
2–1
W
5 Sep
vs Esan Pattaya
0–1
L
4 Apr
vs Rasi Salai United
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nong Bua Pitchaya and Chiangmai United.
What is the prediction for Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Chiangmai United?
Our pick is Nong Bua Pitchaya or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Chiangmai United?
On our numbers Nong Bua Pitchaya have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Chiangmai United 17%.
How many goals will there be in Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Chiangmai United?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Chiangmai United?
Our predicted score is Nong Bua Pitchaya 1–0 Chiangmai United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Chiangmai United?
Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Chiangmai United (Thai League 2) kicks off on Wednesday 14 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Pitchaya Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
