Value bet: Muang Loei United to win @ 2.38 – our chance 48% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMuang Loei United to win ✗48% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗71% · fair 1.41
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.79
Muang Loei United vs Esan Pattaya preview and prediction
The match
The Thai League 2 sees Muang Loei United take on Esan Pattaya on Saturday 10 October, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT) at Ruamjai Stadium Loei Rajabhat University. Muang Loei United are 12th with 12 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Esan Pattaya sit 13th on 12 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Muang Loei United's last 4: DWWL Most recently they drew with Songkhla 1–1 away. They average 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Esan Pattaya's last 5: LDLWD Most recently they lost to Phrae United 0–3 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Muang Loei United arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.1 for Muang Loei United and 0.7 for Esan Pattaya. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 71% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Muang Loei United 48%, draw 24%, Esan Pattaya 28%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Muang Loei United to win at 2.38 – 48% on our numbers against 42% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 52% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: Muang Loei United 1–1 Esan Pattaya. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Muang Loei United48%fair 2.07 · @2.38
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @2.80
Esan Pattaya28%fair 3.59 · @2.88
1.88Expected goals
1.13Muang Loei United xG
0.75Esan Pattaya xG
52%Both score
29%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
0–015%
1–113%
0–111%
2–010%
2–17%
From our goals model: Muang Loei United 1.1 – 0.7 Esan Pattaya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Muang Loei United to win✗
48%
2.07
2.38 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.94
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
88%
1.14
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Muang Loei United / FT Muang Loei United✗
25%
3.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.79
–
Form
Muang Loei United – last 4
DWWL
20 Sep
@ Songkhla
1–1
D
17 Sep
vs Phrae United
2–0
W
13 Sep
vs Chainat
3–0
W
6 Sep
@ Police Tero
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Esan Pattaya – last 6
LDLWDD
20 Sep
vs Phrae United
0–3
L
16 Sep
@ Chainat
0–0
D
11 Sep
vs Police Tero
0–3
L
5 Sep
@ Chiangmai United
1–0
W
19 Apr
vs Sisaket United
3–3
D
5 Apr
@ Phrae United
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Muang Loei United and Esan Pattaya.
What is the prediction for Muang Loei United vs Esan Pattaya?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Muang Loei United vs Esan Pattaya?
On our numbers Muang Loei United have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Esan Pattaya 28%.
How many goals will there be in Muang Loei United vs Esan Pattaya?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Muang Loei United vs Esan Pattaya?
Our predicted score is Muang Loei United 1–1 Esan Pattaya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Muang Loei United vs Esan Pattaya?
Muang Loei United vs Esan Pattaya (Thai League 2) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Ruamjai Stadium Loei Rajabhat University.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
