Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗19% · fair 5.40
Nakhon Pathom vs Muangthong United preview and prediction
The match
The Thai League 2 sees Nakhon Pathom take on Muangthong United on Saturday 10 October, kicking off at 12:00 (WAT) at Nakhon Pathom Municipality Stadium. Nakhon Pathom are 8th with 14 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Muangthong United sit 9th on 14 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Nakhon Pathom's last 5: DDDDL Most recently they drew with Kasetsart FC 0–0 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Muangthong United's last 5: WLWDL Most recently they beat Chiangmai United 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.6 goals: 0.7 for Nakhon Pathom and 0.9 for Muangthong United. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 78% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nakhon Pathom 31%, draw 23%, Muangthong United 46%.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 52% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: Nakhon Pathom 0–0 Muangthong United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nakhon Pathom31%fair 3.24 · @2.90
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @2.88
Muangthong United46%fair 2.19 · @2.30
1.63Expected goals
0.68Nakhon Pathom xG
0.95Muangthong United xG
48%Both score
22%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–020%
0–119%
1–013%
1–113%
0–29%
1–26%
From our goals model: Nakhon Pathom 0.7 – 0.9 Muangthong United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Muangthong United to win✗
46%
2.19
2.30 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.31
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✓
52%
1.94
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
55%
1.81
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
27%
3.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
19%
5.40
–
Form
Nakhon Pathom – last 6
DDDDLW
20 Sep
@ Kasetsart FC
0–0
D
16 Sep
vs Kanchanaburi
1–1
D
13 Sep
@ Phrae United
0–0
D
5 Sep
vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC
2–2
D
19 Apr
vs Bangkok
0–3
L
4 Apr
@ Mahasarakham United
2–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Muangthong United – last 6
WLWDLD
19 Sep
vs Chiangmai United
1–0
W
15 Sep
@ Satun
0–3
L
12 Sep
vs Nong Bua Pitchaya
2–1
W
4 Sep
@ Uttaradit
0–0
D
10 May
@ Sukhothai FC
0–3
L
1 May
vs BG Pathum United
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nakhon Pathom and Muangthong United.
What is the prediction for Nakhon Pathom vs Muangthong United?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Nakhon Pathom vs Muangthong United?
On our numbers Nakhon Pathom have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Muangthong United 46%.
How many goals will there be in Nakhon Pathom vs Muangthong United?
We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 22% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nakhon Pathom vs Muangthong United?
Our predicted score is Nakhon Pathom 0–0 Muangthong United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.6 goals in total.
When is Nakhon Pathom vs Muangthong United?
Nakhon Pathom vs Muangthong United (Thai League 2) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Nakhon Pathom Municipality Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
