Muangthong United vs Chiangmai United prediction & analysis
88%
Footrivo pick
Muangthong United or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.14 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Muangthong United to win @ 1.75 – our chance 63% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMuangthong United to win ✓63% · @1.75
Double chanceMuangthong United or draw ✓88% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓14% · fair 7.26
Muangthong United vs Chiangmai United preview and prediction
The match
The Thai League 2 sees Muangthong United take on Chiangmai United on Saturday 19 September, kicking off at 12:30 (WAT) at Thunderdome Stadium. Muangthong United are 9th with 14 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Chiangmai United sit 11th on 13 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Muangthong United's last 5: LWDLD Most recently they lost to Satun 0–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Chiangmai United's last 5: WWLLL Most recently they beat Khon Kaen United 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.9 for Muangthong United and 0.7 for Chiangmai United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 44%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Muangthong United 63%, draw 25%, Chiangmai United 12%.
Safer route: Muangthong United or draw (88%) at 1.22.
Value angle: Muangthong United to win at 1.75 – 63% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Muangthong United or draw – a 88% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.14, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Muangthong United 1–0 Chiangmai United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Muangthong United63%fair 1.59 · @1.75
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @3.70
Chiangmai United12%fair 8.11 · @3.70
2.61Expected goals
1.88Muangthong United xG
0.73Chiangmai United xG
44%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Muangthong United 1.9 – 0.7 Chiangmai United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Muangthong United to win✓
63%
1.59
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Muangthong United or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.22 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.77
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
–
Half-time result
Muangthong United ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Muangthong United / FT Muangthong United✓
41%
2.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
14%
7.26
–
Form
Muangthong United – last 6
LWDLDD
15 Sep
@ Satun
0–3
L
12 Sep
vs Nong Bua Pitchaya
2–1
W
4 Sep
@ Uttaradit
0–0
D
10 May
@ Sukhothai FC
0–3
L
1 May
vs BG Pathum United
1–1
D
26 Apr
@ Chonburi FC
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Chiangmai United – last 6
WWLLLL
15 Sep
vs Khon Kaen United
3–1
W
12 Sep
@ Nakhon Ratchasima FC
2–1
W
5 Sep
vs Esan Pattaya
0–1
L
4 Apr
vs Rasi Salai United
1–2
L
21 Mar
@ Khon Kaen United
1–2
L
7 Mar
@ Esan Pattaya
1–4
L
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Muangthong United and Chiangmai United.
What is the prediction for Muangthong United vs Chiangmai United?
Our pick is Muangthong United or draw with a 88% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Muangthong United vs Chiangmai United?
On our numbers Muangthong United have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Chiangmai United 12%.
How many goals will there be in Muangthong United vs Chiangmai United?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Muangthong United vs Chiangmai United?
Our predicted score is Muangthong United 1–0 Chiangmai United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Muangthong United vs Chiangmai United?
Muangthong United vs Chiangmai United (Thai League 2) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Thunderdome Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
