Value bet: Gloria Bistriţa to win @ 2.80 – our chance 40% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGloria Bistriţa to win ✗40% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.84
ASA Targu Mures vs Gloria Bistriţa preview and prediction
The match
The Liga II sees ASA Targu Mures take on Gloria Bistriţa on Saturday 22 August, kicking off at 09:00 (WAT) at Stadionul Trans-Sil. ASA Targu Mures are 17th with 11 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Gloria Bistriţa sit 14th on 18 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
ASA Targu Mures's last 5: LDWLL Most recently they lost to FC Politehnica Timisoara 1–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Gloria Bistriţa's last 5: DLWWW Most recently they drew with Metalul Buzău 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Gloria Bistriţa arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 25 July 2026, finished ASA Targu Mures 0–2 Gloria Bistriţa. Across their last 2 meetings ASA Targu Mures have won 0, Gloria Bistriţa 1, with 1 draw and 2.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.2 for ASA Targu Mures and 1.3 for Gloria Bistriţa. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 57%.
Value angle: Gloria Bistriţa to win at 2.80 – 40% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: ASA Targu Mures 1–1 Gloria Bistriţa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
ASA Targu Mures36%fair 2.80 · @2.30
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.20
Gloria Bistriţa40%fair 2.47 · @2.80
2.58Expected goals
1.24ASA Targu Mures xG
1.34Gloria Bistriţa xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–110%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: ASA Targu Mures 1.2 – 1.3 Gloria Bistriţa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for ASA Targu Mures vs Gloria Bistriţa?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win ASA Targu Mures vs Gloria Bistriţa?
On our numbers ASA Targu Mures have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Gloria Bistriţa 40%.
How many goals will there be in ASA Targu Mures vs Gloria Bistriţa?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ASA Targu Mures vs Gloria Bistriţa?
Our predicted score is ASA Targu Mures 1–1 Gloria Bistriţa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is ASA Targu Mures vs Gloria Bistriţa?
ASA Targu Mures vs Gloria Bistriţa (Liga II) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadionul Trans-Sil.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
