Liga II · Romania · May 1 StadiumSlatina vs Metalul Buzău prediction & analysis
Slatina or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
Value bet: Slatina to win @ 1.91 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Slatina 1.7 – 0.8 Metalul Buzău expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Slatina hold the edge on home soil with a 56% chance of winning, against 18% for Metalul Buzău.
Slatina have taken 16 points from their last 6 matches (5W 1D 0L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 0.3 per game. Metalul Buzău have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded. Slatina come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.5 goals (1.7 for Slatina, 0.8 for Metalul Buzău). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 54%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (14%), 1–1 (11%), 2–0 (11%).
In their last 1 meeting, Slatina have won 1, Metalul Buzău have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 4.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Slatina or draw at a 82% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is close to our fair price of 1.22. For a bigger price, Slatina to win at 1.91 is our value angle (56% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Slatina to win ✓ | 56% | 1.79 | 1.91 ▲ |
| Double chance | Slatina or draw ✓ | 82% | 1.22 | 1.20 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 54% | 1.86 | 1.83 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 70% | 1.43 | 1.35 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 55% | 1.83 | 1.70 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 75% | 1.33 | 1.25 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 43% | 2.33 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Slatina / FT Slatina ✓ | 35% | 2.88 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 14% | 7.32 | – |
Form
Slatina – last 6
| 19 Aug | vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | 0–0 | D |
| 15 Aug | @ CSM Ramnicu Valcea | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Aug | @ Oltul Curtişoara | 3–0 | W |
| 8 Aug | vs CS Dinamo București | 5–1 | W |
| 2 Aug | @ CSA Steaua Bucureşti | 2–1 | W |
| 9 May | vs Politehnica Iasi | 1–0 | W |
Metalul Buzău – last 6
| 19 Aug | @ Gloria Bistriţa | 0–0 | D |
| 15 Aug | @ CS Dinamo București | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Aug | @ Baicoi | 4–2 | W |
| 8 Aug | vs CS Afumati | 3–1 | W |
| 1 Aug | @ Metaloglobus | 0–0 | D |
| 3 Jul | vs FC Bacau | 2–7 | L |
Head to head
| 2 May 2026 | Metalul Buzău v Slatina | 1–3 |
Liga II table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chindia Targoviste | 13 | +19 | 30 |
| 2 |  FC Politehnica Timisoara | 13 | +13 | 29 |
| 3 |  Slatina | 13 | +9 | 28 |
| 4 |  Popești-Leordeni | 13 | +9 | 27 |
| 5 |  Concordia | 13 | +14 | 25 |
| 6 |  CSM Reşiţa | 13 | +4 | 25 |
| 7 |  Cetatea Suceava | 13 | +8 | 22 |
| 8 |  Metalul Buzău | 12 | +5 | 21 |
| 9 |  Metaloglobus | 13 | +2 | 21 |
| 10 |  CSM Ramnicu Valcea | 13 | -1 | 20 |
| 11 |  FC Bacau | 13 | +9 | 19 |
| 12 |  Bihor Oradea | 13 | +7 | 19 |
| 13 |  CS Afumati | 13 | -1 | 18 |
| 14 |  Gloria Bistriţa | 13 | -2 | 18 |
| 15 |  Unirea Slobozia | 13 | +2 | 14 |
| 16 |  CSA Steaua Bucureşti | 12 | -6 | 11 |
| 17 |  ASA Targu Mures | 13 | -13 | 11 |
| 18 |  CSM Satu Mare | 13 | -8 | 9 |
| 19 |  Viitorul Şelimbăr | 13 | -16 | 9 |
| 20 |  Ştefăneşti | 13 | -20 | 9 |
| 21 |  CS Dinamo București | 13 | -17 | 8 |
| 22 |  Dumbrăviţa | 13 | -17 | 4 |
More Liga II predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Slatina vs Metalul Buzău?
Our pick is Slatina or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Slatina vs Metalul Buzău?
On our numbers Slatina have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Metalul Buzău 18%.
How many goals will there be in Slatina vs Metalul Buzău?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
When is Slatina vs Metalul Buzău?
Slatina vs Metalul Buzău (Liga II) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time) at May 1 Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.