Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultZira to win ✓62% · @1.70
Double chanceZira or draw ✓87% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.28
Zira vs Sumqayıt preview and prediction
The match
Sumqayıt travel to Zira Stadium in the Premyer Liqa on Friday 23 October (16:00 WAT) to face Zira. Zira are 5th with 19 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Sumqayıt sit 9th on 10 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Zira's last 5: DDLDL Most recently they drew with Kapaz 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Sumqayıt's last 5: WWDDL Most recently they beat Araz 2–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 May 2026, finished Zira 2–1 Sumqayıt. Across their last 2 meetings Zira have won 2, Sumqayıt 0, with 0 draws and 2.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Zira and 0.8 for Sumqayıt. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 48%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Zira 62%, draw 25%, Sumqayıt 13%.
Safer route: Zira or draw (87%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Zira to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.62, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Zira 1–0 Sumqayıt. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Zira62%fair 1.62 · @1.70
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.25
Sumqayıt13%fair 7.81 · @4.75
2.60Expected goals
1.85Zira xG
0.75Sumqayıt xG
48%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Zira 1.8 – 0.8 Sumqayıt expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Zira to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Zira vs Sumqayıt?
On our numbers Zira have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Sumqayıt 13%.
How many goals will there be in Zira vs Sumqayıt?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Zira vs Sumqayıt?
Our predicted score is Zira 1–0 Sumqayıt, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Zira vs Sumqayıt?
Zira vs Sumqayıt (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Zira Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
