Qabala travel to Shamakhi City Stadium in the Premyer Liqa on Friday 23 October (12:00 WAT) to face Araz. Araz are 12th with 4 points from 11 games (in the bottom three), while Qabala sit 10th on 8 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Araz's last 5: LLLDL Most recently they lost to Sumqayıt 1–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Qabala's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Sabah FA 0–4 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Qabala arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 0.7 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for Araz and 1.3 for Qabala. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Araz 37%, draw 24%, Qabala 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 58% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.73, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Araz 1–1 Qabala. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Araz37%fair 2.67 · @2.50
Draw24%fair 4.08 · @3.00
Qabala38%fair 2.62 · @2.60
2.56Expected goals
1.27Araz xG
1.29Qabala xG
58%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
2–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Araz 1.3 – 1.3 Qabala expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Qabala to win✓
38%
2.62
2.60
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Qabala / FT Qabala✗
21%
4.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
10.05
–
Form
Araz – last 6
LLLDLL
16 Oct
@ Sumqayıt
1–2
L
9 Oct
vs Kapaz
0–2
L
20 Sep
@ Şamaxı FK
1–2
L
13 Sep
vs Turan
2–2
D
6 Sep
@ Qarabag
2–3
L
31 Aug
vs Sabah FA
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Qabala – last 6
LLLLWD
17 Oct
vs Sabah FA
0–4
L
10 Oct
@ Sumqayıt
1–4
L
18 Sep
vs Neftchi Baku
0–3
L
12 Sep
@ Kapaz
0–1
L
4 Sep
vs Imisli FK
2–1
W
29 Aug
vs Şamaxı FK
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Araz and Qabala.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Araz vs Qabala?
On our numbers Araz have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Qabala 38%.
How many goals will there be in Araz vs Qabala?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Araz vs Qabala?
Our predicted score is Araz 1–1 Qabala, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Araz vs Qabala?
Araz vs Qabala (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Shamakhi City Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
