Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
1
Value bet: Sabah FA to win @ 2.25 – our chance 48% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSabah FA to win ✗48% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.75
Sabah FA vs Qarabag preview and prediction
The match
Sabah FA host Qarabag in the Premyer Liqa on Sunday 25 October, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Bank Respublika Arena. Sabah FA are 3rd with 21 points from 10 games (in the top four), while Qarabag sit 4th on 19 points (in the top four). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Sabah FA's last 5: LWWDW Most recently they lost to Borussia Dortmund 1–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Qarabag's last 5: DWWDW Most recently they drew with Neftchi Baku 3–3 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 April 2026, finished Sabah FA 2–1 Qarabag. Across their last 3 meetings Sabah FA have won 1, Qarabag 0, with 2 draws and 4.3 goals per game; both teams scored in 3 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.7 for Sabah FA and 1.3 for Qarabag. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 62%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sabah FA 48%, draw 21%, Qarabag 32%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.50.
Value angle: Sabah FA to win at 2.25 – 48% on our numbers against 44% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Sabah FA 1–1 Qarabag. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sabah FA48%fair 2.09 · @2.25
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @3.40
Qarabag32%fair 3.17 · @2.62
2.96Expected goals
1.67Sabah FA xG
1.29Qarabag xG
62%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–09%
1–27%
2–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Sabah FA 1.7 – 1.3 Qarabag expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Sabah FA vs Qarabag?
On our numbers Sabah FA have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Qarabag 32%.
How many goals will there be in Sabah FA vs Qarabag?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sabah FA vs Qarabag?
Our predicted score is Sabah FA 1–1 Qarabag, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Sabah FA vs Qarabag?
Sabah FA vs Qarabag (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Bank Respublika Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
