Value bet: Şamaxı FK to win @ 2.45 – our chance 46% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultŞamaxı FK to win ✗46% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.02
Imisli FK vs Şamaxı FK preview and prediction
The match
The Premyer Liqa sees Imisli FK take on Şamaxı FK on Sunday 25 October, kicking off at 12:00 (WAT) at Yevlakh City Stadium. Imisli FK are 8th with 11 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Şamaxı FK sit 7th on 14 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Imisli FK's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Turan 1–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Şamaxı FK's last 5: WDWDW Most recently they beat Safa Baku 3–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Şamaxı FK arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 8 March 2026, finished Keshla FC 0–0 Mil-Muğan. Across their last 2 meetings Imisli FK have won 0, Şamaxı FK 0, with 2 draws and 0.0 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.1 for Imisli FK and 1.4 for Şamaxı FK. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Imisli FK 32%, draw 22%, Şamaxı FK 46%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Şamaxı FK to win at 2.45 – 46% on our numbers against 41% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 50% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: Imisli FK 1–1 Şamaxı FK. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Imisli FK32%fair 3.17 · @2.62
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.00
Şamaxı FK46%fair 2.17 · @2.45
2.56Expected goals
1.13Imisli FK xG
1.43Şamaxı FK xG
50%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
1–09%
0–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Imisli FK 1.1 – 1.4 Şamaxı FK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Imisli FK vs Şamaxı FK?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Imisli FK vs Şamaxı FK?
On our numbers Imisli FK have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Şamaxı FK 46%.
How many goals will there be in Imisli FK vs Şamaxı FK?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Imisli FK vs Şamaxı FK?
Our predicted score is Imisli FK 1–1 Şamaxı FK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Imisli FK vs Şamaxı FK?
Imisli FK vs Şamaxı FK (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Yevlakh City Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
