Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSumqayıt to win ✓46% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.90
Sumqayıt vs Araz preview and prediction
The match
Sumqayıt host Araz in the Premyer Liqa on Friday 16 October, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Mehdi Huseynzade Stadium. Sumqayıt are 9th with 10 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Araz sit 12th on 4 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Sumqayıt's last 5: WDDLL Most recently they beat Qabala 4–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Araz's last 5: LLDLL Most recently they lost to Kapaz 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Sumqayıt arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 0.8 points a game against 0.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 February 2026, finished Araz 1–0 Sumqayıt.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.6 for Sumqayıt and 1.3 for Araz. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 62%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sumqayıt 46%, draw 22%, Araz 32%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 62% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Sumqayıt 1–1 Araz. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sumqayıt46%fair 2.18 · @2.20
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.00
Araz32%fair 3.15 · @3.00
2.85Expected goals
1.58Sumqayıt xG
1.27Araz xG
62%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
2–19%
1–09%
1–27%
0–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Sumqayıt 1.6 – 1.3 Araz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Sumqayıt vs Araz?
On our numbers Sumqayıt have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Araz 32%.
How many goals will there be in Sumqayıt vs Araz?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sumqayıt vs Araz?
Our predicted score is Sumqayıt 1–1 Araz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Sumqayıt vs Araz?
Sumqayıt vs Araz (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Friday 16 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Mehdi Huseynzade Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
