Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultTuran to win ✓64% · @1.44
Double chanceTuran or draw ✓84% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70% · fair 1.43
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓21% · fair 4.76
Safa Baku vs Turan preview and prediction
The match
Turan travel to ASK Arena in the Premyer Liqa on Sunday 11 October (15:30 WAT) to face Safa Baku. Safa Baku are 11th with 5 points from 11 games (in the bottom three), while Turan sit 2nd on 21 points (in the top four). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Safa Baku's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Qarabag 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Turan's last 5: LWDWL Most recently they lost to Fenerbahçe 0–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Turan arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 0.5 for Safa Baku and 1.4 for Turan. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 70% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Safa Baku 16%, draw 19%, Turan 64%.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Turan to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Safa Baku 0–1 Turan. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Safa Baku16%fair 6.18 · @6.00
Draw19%fair 5.15 · @3.80
Turan64%fair 1.55 · @1.44
1.92Expected goals
0.49Safa Baku xG
1.43Turan xG
50%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–121%
0–215%
0–015%
1–110%
1–27%
0–37%
From our goals model: Safa Baku 0.5 – 1.4 Turan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Turan to win✓
64%
1.55
1.44
Double chance
Turan or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.11
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.98
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Turan / FT Turan✓
37%
2.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
21%
4.76
–
Form
Safa Baku – last 6
LLLLWL
18 Sep
@ Qarabag
0–1
L
14 Sep
vs Sabah FA
0–3
L
5 Sep
@ Neftchi Baku
1–4
L
29 Aug
vs Imisli FK
0–1
L
22 Aug
@ Qabala
1–0
W
16 Aug
@ Zira
0–2
L
0.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Turan – last 6
LWDWLD
3 Oct
vs Fenerbahçe
0–2
L
19 Sep
vs Zira
1–0
W
13 Sep
@ Araz
2–2
D
6 Sep
vs Sumqayıt
2–1
W
30 Aug
@ Kapaz
0–1
L
23 Aug
vs Şamaxı FK
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Safa Baku and Turan.
Our pick is Turan to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Safa Baku vs Turan?
On our numbers Safa Baku have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Turan 64%.
How many goals will there be in Safa Baku vs Turan?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Safa Baku vs Turan?
Our predicted score is Safa Baku 0–1 Turan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Safa Baku vs Turan?
Safa Baku vs Turan (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at ASK Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
