The Premyer Liqa sees Imisli FK take on Qarabag on Sunday 11 October, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT) at Yevlakh City Stadium. Imisli FK are 8th with 11 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Qarabag sit 4th on 19 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Imisli FK's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Sabah FA 1–3 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Qarabag's last 5: WDWWL Most recently they beat Safa Baku 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Qarabag arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 14 February 2026, finished Mil-Muğan 0–1 Qarabag.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 0.7 for Imisli FK and 2.0 for Qarabag. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Imisli FK 13%, draw 17%, Qarabag 70%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.25.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 2.25, above our fair price of 1.98, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Imisli FK 1–2 Qarabag. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Imisli FK13%fair 7.77 · @15.00
Draw17%fair 5.82 · @5.80
Qarabag70%fair 1.43 · @1.18
2.73Expected goals
0.70Imisli FK xG
2.03Qarabag xG
51%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–213%
0–113%
1–29%
1–19%
0–39%
0–07%
From our goals model: Imisli FK 0.7 – 2.0 Qarabag expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.25.
Who will win Imisli FK vs Qarabag?
On our numbers Imisli FK have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Qarabag 70%.
How many goals will there be in Imisli FK vs Qarabag?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Imisli FK vs Qarabag?
Our predicted score is Imisli FK 1–2 Qarabag, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Imisli FK vs Qarabag?
Imisli FK vs Qarabag (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Yevlakh City Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
