Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNeftchi Baku to win ✓67% · @1.50
Double chanceNeftchi Baku or draw ✓87% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.02
Qabala vs Neftchi Baku preview and prediction
The match
Neftchi Baku travel to face Qabala in the Premyer Liqa on Friday 18 September (14:30 WAT). Qabala are 10th with 8 points from 11 games (in the bottom three), while Neftchi Baku sit 1st on 24 points (top of the table). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Qabala's last 5: LWDLL Most recently they lost to Kapaz 0–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Neftchi Baku's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Imisli FK 3–2 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
Neftchi Baku arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 March 2026, finished Qabala 1–3 Neftchi Baku.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 0.7 for Qabala and 1.9 for Neftchi Baku. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 46%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Qabala 13%, draw 19%, Neftchi Baku 67%.
Both teams to score: no (54%) at 1.83.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Neftchi Baku to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Qabala 0–1 Neftchi Baku. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Qabala13%fair 7.61 · @6.00
Draw19%fair 5.15 · @3.60
Neftchi Baku67%fair 1.48 · @1.50
2.60Expected goals
0.68Qabala xG
1.92Neftchi Baku xG
46%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
0–214%
1–110%
1–29%
0–39%
0–07%
From our goals model: Qabala 0.7 – 1.9 Neftchi Baku expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Qabala vs Neftchi Baku?
Our pick is Neftchi Baku to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Qabala vs Neftchi Baku?
On our numbers Qabala have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Neftchi Baku 67%.
How many goals will there be in Qabala vs Neftchi Baku?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Qabala vs Neftchi Baku?
Our predicted score is Qabala 0–1 Neftchi Baku, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Qabala vs Neftchi Baku?
Qabala vs Neftchi Baku (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Friday 18 September 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
