Value bet: Qabala to win @ 2.50 – our chance 43% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultQabala to win ✗43% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · fair 1.31
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.73
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓71% · fair 1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.33
Kapaz vs Qabala preview and prediction
The match
The Premyer Liqa sees Kapaz take on Qabala on Saturday 12 September, kicking off at 14:30 (WAT) at Ganja City Stadium. Kapaz are 6th with 17 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Qabala sit 10th on 8 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Kapaz's last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to Şamaxı FK 1–4 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Qabala's last 5: WDLLW Most recently they beat Imisli FK 2–1 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Qabala arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 5 April 2026, finished Kapaz 0–2 Qabala.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 0.8 for Kapaz and 1.0 for Qabala. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 71% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Kapaz 34%, draw 24%, Qabala 43%.
Value angle: Qabala to win at 2.50 – 43% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Either team to win – a 76% chance. Predicted score: Kapaz 0–1 Qabala. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kapaz34%fair 2.97 · @2.70
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @2.88
Qabala43%fair 2.34 · @2.50
1.86Expected goals
0.85Kapaz xG
1.01Qabala xG
42%Both score
29%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–116%
0–016%
1–113%
1–013%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: Kapaz 0.8 – 1.0 Qabala expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
On our numbers Kapaz have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Qabala 43%.
How many goals will there be in Kapaz vs Qabala?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kapaz vs Qabala?
Our predicted score is Kapaz 0–1 Qabala, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Kapaz vs Qabala?
Kapaz vs Qabala (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Ganja City Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
