Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.13
Qarabag vs Araz preview and prediction
The match
Araz travel to Tofiq Bahramov Stadium in the Premyer Liqa on Sunday 6 September (17:15 WAT) to face Qarabag. Qarabag are 4th with 19 points from 10 games (in the top four), while Araz sit 12th on 4 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Qarabag's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Sumqayıt 1–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Araz's last 5: LLDWL Most recently they lost to Sabah FA 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Qarabag arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 8 March 2026, finished Qarabag 6–0 Araz.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.8 for Qarabag and 0.4 for Araz. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Qarabag 73%, draw 16%, Araz 12%.
Both teams to score: no (54%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Qarabag 1–0 Araz. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Qarabag73%fair 1.37 · @1.18
Draw16%fair 6.37 · @6.00
Araz12%fair 8.65 · @12.00
2.20Expected goals
1.76Qarabag xG
0.44Araz xG
46%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–019%
2–017%
0–011%
3–010%
1–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: Qarabag 1.8 – 0.4 Araz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Qarabag vs Araz?
On our numbers Qarabag have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Araz 12%.
How many goals will there be in Qarabag vs Araz?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Qarabag vs Araz?
Our predicted score is Qarabag 1–0 Araz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Qarabag vs Araz?
Qarabag vs Araz (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at Tofiq Bahramov Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
