Value bet: Imisli FK to win @ 3.60 – our chance 34% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultQabala to win ✓43% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.92
Qabala vs Imisli FK preview and prediction
The match
Qabala host Imisli FK in the Premyer Liqa on Friday 4 September, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT). Qabala are 10th with 8 points from 11 games (in the bottom three), while Imisli FK sit 8th on 11 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Qabala's last 5: DLLWW Most recently they drew with Şamaxı FK 0–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Imisli FK's last 5: WLDDD Most recently they beat Safa Baku 1–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 12 April 2026, finished Qabala 0–1 Imisli FK.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.7 goals: 0.9 for Qabala and 0.8 for Imisli FK. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Qabala 43%, draw 23%, Imisli FK 34%.
Both teams to score: no (54%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Imisli FK to win at 3.60 – 34% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.53, above our fair price of 1.47, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Qabala 0–0 Imisli FK. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Qabala43%fair 2.32 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.00
Imisli FK34%fair 2.92 · @3.60
1.71Expected goals
0.93Qabala xG
0.78Imisli FK xG
46%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–018%
1–017%
0–114%
1–113%
2–08%
2–16%
From our goals model: Qabala 0.9 – 0.8 Imisli FK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Qabala vs Imisli FK?
On our numbers Qabala have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Imisli FK 34%.
How many goals will there be in Qabala vs Imisli FK?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Qabala vs Imisli FK?
Our predicted score is Qabala 0–0 Imisli FK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Qabala vs Imisli FK?
Qabala vs Imisli FK (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.