Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 53% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultTuran to win ✗64% · @1.55
Double chanceTuran or draw ✓88% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.66
Turan vs Şamaxı FK preview and prediction
The match
The Premyer Liqa sees Turan take on Şamaxı FK on Sunday 23 August, kicking off at 15:30 (WAT). Turan are 2nd with 21 points from 11 games (in the top four), while Şamaxı FK sit 7th on 14 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Turan's last 5: WLWLD Most recently they beat Qabala 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Şamaxı FK's last 5: LLLWD Most recently they lost to Qarabag 1–3 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Turan arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 16 February 2026, finished Keshla FC 0–0 Turan.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Turan and 0.7 for Şamaxı FK. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Turan 64%, draw 24%, Şamaxı FK 12%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.00 – 53% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Turan to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: Turan 1–0 Şamaxı FK. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Turan64%fair 1.56 · @1.55
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.40
Şamaxı FK12%fair 8.27 · @5.80
2.50Expected goals
1.83Turan xG
0.67Şamaxı FK xG
53%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Turan 1.8 – 0.7 Şamaxı FK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Turan to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Turan vs Şamaxı FK?
On our numbers Turan have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Şamaxı FK 12%.
How many goals will there be in Turan vs Şamaxı FK?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Turan vs Şamaxı FK?
Our predicted score is Turan 1–0 Şamaxı FK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Turan vs Şamaxı FK?
Turan vs Şamaxı FK (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
