The Premyer Liqa sees Qarabag take on Kapaz on Saturday 22 August, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Tofiq Bahramov Stadium. Qarabag are 4th with 19 points from 10 games (in the top four), while Kapaz sit 6th on 17 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Qarabag's last 5: WWWLD Most recently they beat Twente 1–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Kapaz's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Sabah FA 0–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Qarabag arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 20 March 2026, finished Kapaz 1–0 Qarabag.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.3 for Qarabag and 0.7 for Kapaz. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 51%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Qarabag 71%, draw 21%, Kapaz 8%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.05.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Qarabag to win – a 71% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Qarabag 2–0 Kapaz. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Qarabag71%fair 1.40 · @1.20
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @5.80
Kapaz8%fair 12.71 · @12.00
3.00Expected goals
2.29Qarabag xG
0.71Kapaz xG
51%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–011%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Qarabag 2.3 – 0.7 Kapaz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Qarabag to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Qarabag vs Kapaz?
On our numbers Qarabag have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Kapaz 8%.
How many goals will there be in Qarabag vs Kapaz?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Qarabag vs Kapaz?
Our predicted score is Qarabag 2–0 Kapaz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Qarabag vs Kapaz?
Qarabag vs Kapaz (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Tofiq Bahramov Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
