Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultModena to win ✗59% · @1.80
Double chanceModena or draw ✓80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.83
Modena vs Mantova preview and prediction
The match
The Serie B sees Modena take on Mantova on Saturday 31 October, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Stadio Alberto Braglia. Modena are 2nd with 23 points from 11 games (in the top four), while Mantova sit 4th on 19 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Modena's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Vicenza Virtus 2–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Mantova's last 5: LWLWD Most recently they lost to Cremonese 0–2 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.8 for Modena and 1.0 for Mantova. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Modena 59%, draw 21%, Mantova 20%.
Safer route: Modena or draw (80%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Modena or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Modena 1–0 Mantova. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Modena59%fair 1.70 · @1.80
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @3.40
Mantova20%fair 4.90 · @4.00
2.78Expected goals
1.83Modena xG
0.95Mantova xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
3–06%
0–06%
From our goals model: Modena 1.8 – 1.0 Mantova expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Modena to win✗
59%
1.70
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Modena or draw✓
80%
1.26
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
–
Half-time result
Modena ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Modena / FT Modena✗
36%
2.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
8.83
–
Form
Modena – last 6
WWLWWD
27 Oct
@ Vicenza Virtus
2–1
W
24 Oct
vs Cesena
3–0
W
17 Oct
@ Carrarese
1–2
L
11 Oct
vs Hellas Verona
3–2
W
20 Sep
vs Empoli
2–1
W
12 Sep
@ Sudtirol
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Mantova – last 6
LWLWDW
27 Oct
vs Cremonese
0–2
L
24 Oct
@ Virtus Entella
1–0
W
17 Oct
vs Palermo
0–2
L
11 Oct
@ Catanzaro
3–1
W
20 Sep
vs Pisa
2–2
D
13 Sep
vs Sampdoria
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Modena and Mantova.
Our pick is Modena or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Modena vs Mantova?
On our numbers Modena have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Mantova 20%.
How many goals will there be in Modena vs Mantova?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Modena vs Mantova?
Our predicted score is Modena 1–0 Mantova, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Modena vs Mantova?
Modena vs Mantova (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Alberto Braglia.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
