Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
2
Value bet: Padova to win @ 2.80 – our chance 41% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPadova to win ✗41% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 11.03
Catanzaro vs Padova preview and prediction
The match
Catanzaro host Padova in the Serie B on Saturday 31 October, with kick-off at 17:15 (WAT) at Stadio Nicola Ceravolo. Catanzaro are 20th with 6 points from 11 games (in the bottom three), while Padova sit 10th on 15 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Catanzaro's last 5: DLDLL Most recently they drew with Benevento 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Padova's last 5: WWLLL Most recently they beat Sudtirol 2–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Padova arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.3 for Catanzaro and 1.5 for Padova. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Catanzaro 35%, draw 24%, Padova 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Padova to win at 2.80 – 41% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 60% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Catanzaro 1–1 Padova. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Catanzaro35%fair 2.88 · @2.38
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.20
Padova41%fair 2.43 · @2.80
2.78Expected goals
1.32Catanzaro xG
1.46Padova xG
60%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Catanzaro 1.3 – 1.5 Padova expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Padova to win✗
41%
2.43
2.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Padova / FT Padova✗
24%
4.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
9%
11.03
–
Form
Catanzaro – last 6
DLDLLW
27 Oct
@ Benevento
1–1
D
24 Oct
vs Ascoli
1–6
L
16 Oct
@ Hellas Verona
2–2
D
11 Oct
vs Mantova
1–3
L
19 Sep
@ Sampdoria
1–2
L
12 Sep
vs Carrarese
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Padova – last 6
WWLLLW
27 Oct
vs Sudtirol
2–0
W
24 Oct
@ Avellino
1–0
W
17 Oct
vs Virtus Entella
1–2
L
11 Oct
vs Carrarese
0–2
L
19 Sep
@ Palermo
1–2
L
12 Sep
vs Ascoli
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Catanzaro and Padova.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Catanzaro vs Padova?
On our numbers Catanzaro have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Padova 41%.
How many goals will there be in Catanzaro vs Padova?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Catanzaro vs Padova?
Our predicted score is Catanzaro 1–1 Padova, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Catanzaro vs Padova?
Catanzaro vs Padova (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Nicola Ceravolo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
