Value bet: Empoli to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCesena to win ✓43% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.11
Cesena vs Empoli preview and prediction
The match
Cesena host Empoli in the Serie B on Tuesday 27 October, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Dino Manuzzi. Cesena are 11th with 15 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Empoli sit 19th on 9 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Cesena's last 5: LDLDD Most recently they lost to Modena 0–3 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Empoli's last 5: LDLLL Most recently they lost to Vicenza Virtus 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Cesena and 1.2 for Empoli. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cesena 43%, draw 22%, Empoli 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Empoli to win at 3.10 – 35% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 56% chance at odds of 1.70. Predicted score: Cesena 1–1 Empoli. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cesena43%fair 2.33 · @2.20
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.10
Empoli35%fair 2.88 · @3.10
2.50Expected goals
1.34Cesena xG
1.16Empoli xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–19%
0–08%
1–27%
From our goals model: Cesena 1.3 – 1.2 Empoli expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cesena to win✓
43%
2.33
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cesena / FT Cesena✓
24%
4.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.11
–
Form
Cesena – last 6
LDLDDD
24 Oct
@ Modena
0–3
L
18 Oct
vs Avellino
1–1
D
10 Oct
@ Benevento
0–2
L
18 Sep
@ Juve Stabia
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs Cremonese
2–2
D
6 Sep
vs Mantova
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Empoli – last 6
LDLLLW
23 Oct
vs Vicenza Virtus
0–2
L
17 Oct
@ Ascoli
1–1
D
10 Oct
vs Palermo
2–4
L
20 Sep
@ Modena
1–2
L
11 Sep
vs Arezzo
0–1
L
5 Sep
@ Carrarese
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cesena and Empoli.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Cesena vs Empoli?
On our numbers Cesena have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Empoli 35%.
How many goals will there be in Cesena vs Empoli?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cesena vs Empoli?
Our predicted score is Cesena 1–1 Empoli, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Cesena vs Empoli?
Cesena vs Empoli (Serie B) kicks off on Tuesday 27 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Dino Manuzzi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
