Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Sampdoria to win @ 1.85 – our chance 65% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSampdoria to win ✗65% · @1.85
Double chanceSampdoria or draw ✗86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 9.70
Sampdoria vs Arezzo preview and prediction
The match
The Serie B sees Sampdoria take on Arezzo on Sunday 18 October, kicking off at 18:30 (WAT) at Stadio Luigi Ferraris. Sampdoria are 15th with 11 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Arezzo sit 14th on 11 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Sampdoria's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Avellino 1–4 away. They average 1.0 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Arezzo's last 5: DLWLL Most recently they drew with Cremonese 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Arezzo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.2 for Sampdoria and 1.0 for Arezzo. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 61% and both teams to score at 52%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sampdoria 65%, draw 20%, Arezzo 14%.
Safer route: Sampdoria or draw (86%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Sampdoria to win at 1.85 – 65% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Sampdoria or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sampdoria 2–0 Arezzo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sampdoria65%fair 1.53 · @1.85
Draw20%fair 4.89 · @3.30
Arezzo14%fair 7.01 · @4.00
3.17Expected goals
2.22Sampdoria xG
0.95Arezzo xG
52%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Sampdoria 2.2 – 1.0 Arezzo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sampdoria to win✗
65%
1.53
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Sampdoria or draw✗
86%
1.17
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
Sampdoria ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sampdoria / FT Sampdoria✗
43%
2.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
10%
9.70
–
Form
Sampdoria – last 6
LWLLLD
9 Oct
@ Avellino
1–4
L
19 Sep
vs Catanzaro
2–1
W
13 Sep
@ Mantova
0–2
L
7 Sep
@ Palermo
1–3
L
29 Aug
vs Juve Stabia
1–2
L
23 Aug
@ Cesena
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Arezzo – last 6
DLWLLW
10 Oct
vs Cremonese
0–0
D
20 Sep
vs Sudtirol
1–4
L
11 Sep
@ Empoli
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ Hellas Verona
0–5
L
30 Aug
vs Palermo
2–3
L
22 Aug
@ Avellino
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sampdoria and Arezzo.
Our pick is Sampdoria or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Sampdoria vs Arezzo?
On our numbers Sampdoria have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Arezzo 14%.
How many goals will there be in Sampdoria vs Arezzo?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sampdoria vs Arezzo?
Our predicted score is Sampdoria 2–0 Arezzo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Sampdoria vs Arezzo?
Sampdoria vs Arezzo (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Luigi Ferraris.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
