Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCesena to win ✗41% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 10.83
Cesena vs Avellino preview and prediction
The match
Avellino travel to Stadio Dino Manuzzi in the Serie B on Sunday 18 October (16:15 WAT) to face Cesena. Cesena are 11th with 15 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Avellino sit 5th on 16 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Cesena's last 5: LDDDW Most recently they lost to Benevento 0–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Avellino's last 5: WLDWW Most recently they beat Sampdoria 4–1 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Avellino arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.4 for Cesena and 1.3 for Avellino. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cesena 41%, draw 24%, Avellino 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 61% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.65, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Cesena 1–1 Avellino. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cesena41%fair 2.44 · @2.25
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.10
Avellino35%fair 2.88 · @3.00
2.75Expected goals
1.44Cesena xG
1.31Avellino xG
61%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Cesena 1.4 – 1.3 Avellino expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cesena to win✗
41%
2.44
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cesena / FT Cesena✗
24%
4.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
9%
10.83
–
Form
Cesena – last 6
LDDDWD
10 Oct
@ Benevento
0–2
L
18 Sep
@ Juve Stabia
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs Cremonese
2–2
D
6 Sep
vs Mantova
1–1
D
29 Aug
@ Virtus Entella
2–1
W
23 Aug
vs Sampdoria
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Avellino – last 6
WLDWWL
9 Oct
vs Sampdoria
4–1
W
19 Sep
@ Ascoli
1–3
L
13 Sep
vs Palermo
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ Modena
1–0
W
29 Aug
vs Vicenza Virtus
3–0
W
22 Aug
vs Arezzo
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cesena and Avellino.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Cesena vs Avellino?
On our numbers Cesena have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Avellino 35%.
How many goals will there be in Cesena vs Avellino?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cesena vs Avellino?
Our predicted score is Cesena 1–1 Avellino, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Cesena vs Avellino?
Cesena vs Avellino (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 16:15 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Dino Manuzzi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
