Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.91 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.91Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultEmpoli to win ✗48% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.64
Empoli vs Arezzo preview and prediction
The match
Arezzo travel to Stadio Carlo Castellani in the Serie B on Friday 11 September (18:00 WAT) to face Empoli. Empoli are 19th with 9 points from 11 games (in the bottom three), while Arezzo sit 14th on 11 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Empoli's last 5: WLWDD Most recently they beat Carrarese 1–0 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Arezzo's last 5: LLWLW Most recently they lost to Hellas Verona 0–5 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.8 for Empoli and 1.3 for Arezzo. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 61% and both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Empoli 48%, draw 23%, Arezzo 28%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.91.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 61% chance at odds of 1.91, above our fair price of 1.63, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Empoli 1–1 Arezzo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Empoli48%fair 2.06 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.00
Arezzo28%fair 3.55 · @3.60
3.17Expected goals
1.82Empoli xG
1.35Arezzo xG
61%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–19%
1–08%
2–07%
1–27%
2–26%
From our goals model: Empoli 1.8 – 1.3 Arezzo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Empoli to win✗
48%
2.06
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.63
1.91 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
82%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
38%
2.63
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Empoli / FT Empoli✗
30%
3.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.64
–
Form
Empoli – last 6
WLWDDD
5 Sep
@ Carrarese
1–0
W
30 Aug
@ Mantova
1–3
L
22 Aug
vs Cremonese
1–0
W
17 Aug
@ Pisa
1–1
D
8 Aug
@ Livorno
1–1
D
1 Aug
vs Spezia
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Arezzo – last 6
LLWLWD
6 Sep
@ Hellas Verona
0–5
L
30 Aug
vs Palermo
2–3
L
22 Aug
@ Avellino
2–1
W
14 Aug
@ Cagliari
0–1
L
9 Aug
vs Union Brescia
2–0
W
30 Jul
@ Parma
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Empoli and Arezzo.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Empoli vs Arezzo?
On our numbers Empoli have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Arezzo 28%.
How many goals will there be in Empoli vs Arezzo?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Empoli vs Arezzo?
Our predicted score is Empoli 1–1 Arezzo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Empoli vs Arezzo?
Empoli vs Arezzo (Serie B) kicks off on Friday 11 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Carlo Castellani.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
