Value bet: Hellas Verona to win @ 2.52 – our chance 45% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultHellas Verona to win ✗45% · @2.52
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.50
Benevento vs Hellas Verona preview and prediction
The match
The Serie B sees Benevento take on Hellas Verona on Friday 11 September, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Stadio Ciro Vigorito. Benevento are 6th with 16 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Hellas Verona sit 7th on 16 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Benevento's last 5: LDLLW Most recently they lost to Ascoli 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Hellas Verona's last 5: WWDLD Most recently they beat Arezzo 5–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Hellas Verona arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.2 for Benevento and 1.4 for Hellas Verona. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Hellas Verona to win at 2.52 – 45% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Benevento 1–1 Hellas Verona. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Benevento33%fair 3.08 · @2.80
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.15
Hellas Verona45%fair 2.22 · @2.52
2.62Expected goals
1.17Benevento xG
1.44Hellas Verona xG
59%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
1–09%
0–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Benevento 1.2 – 1.4 Hellas Verona expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hellas Verona to win✗
45%
2.22
2.52 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hellas Verona / FT Hellas Verona✗
25%
3.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.50
–
Form
Benevento – last 6
LDLLWD
5 Sep
@ Ascoli
0–1
L
30 Aug
vs Sudtirol
1–1
D
22 Aug
vs Modena
1–2
L
14 Aug
@ Fiorentina
1–4
L
9 Aug
vs Ravenna
5–3
W
1 Aug
@ Frosinone
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Hellas Verona – last 6
WWDLDW
6 Sep
vs Arezzo
5–0
W
3 Sep
@ Cagliari
2–1
W
29 Aug
@ Padova
1–1
D
23 Aug
vs Ascoli
1–2
L
16 Aug
vs Virtus Entella
2–2
D
2 Aug
vs Lecco
3–0
W
2.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Benevento and Hellas Verona.
What is the prediction for Benevento vs Hellas Verona?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Benevento vs Hellas Verona?
On our numbers Benevento have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Hellas Verona 45%.
How many goals will there be in Benevento vs Hellas Verona?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Benevento vs Hellas Verona?
Our predicted score is Benevento 1–1 Hellas Verona, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Benevento vs Hellas Verona?
Benevento vs Hellas Verona (Serie B) kicks off on Friday 11 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Ciro Vigorito.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
