Empoli travel to Stadio dei Marmi in the Serie B on Saturday 5 September (18:30 WAT) to face Carrarese. Carrarese are 17th with 10 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Empoli sit 19th on 9 points (in the bottom three). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Carrarese's last 5: DLLWL Most recently they drew with Ascoli 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Empoli's last 5: LWDDD Most recently they lost to Mantova 1–3 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Empoli arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Carrarese and 1.2 for Empoli. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 53%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Carrarese 40%, draw 26%, Empoli 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 53% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: Carrarese 1–1 Empoli. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Carrarese40%fair 2.47 · @2.45
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @2.90
Empoli34%fair 2.95 · @2.90
2.50Expected goals
1.32Carrarese xG
1.18Empoli xG
53%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Carrarese 1.3 – 1.2 Empoli expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Carrarese to win✗
40%
2.47
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Carrarese / FT Carrarese✗
23%
4.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.24
–
Form
Carrarese – last 6
DLLWLL
29 Aug
@ Ascoli
1–1
D
22 Aug
vs Mantova
1–2
L
15 Aug
@ Torino
0–1
L
8 Aug
@ Virtus Entella
1–0
W
26 Jul
@ Napoli
0–2
L
8 May
@ Virtus Entella
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Empoli – last 6
LWDDDW
30 Aug
@ Mantova
1–3
L
22 Aug
vs Cremonese
1–0
W
17 Aug
@ Pisa
1–1
D
8 Aug
@ Livorno
1–1
D
1 Aug
vs Spezia
1–1
D
25 Jul
vs Virtus Entella
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Carrarese and Empoli.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Carrarese vs Empoli?
On our numbers Carrarese have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Empoli 34%.
How many goals will there be in Carrarese vs Empoli?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Carrarese vs Empoli?
Our predicted score is Carrarese 1–1 Empoli, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Carrarese vs Empoli?
Carrarese vs Empoli (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio dei Marmi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
