Benevento travel to Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca in the Serie B on Saturday 5 September (16:15 WAT) to face Ascoli. Ascoli are 3rd with 20 points from 11 games (in the top four), while Benevento sit 6th on 16 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Ascoli's last 5: DWLWL Most recently they drew with Carrarese 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Benevento's last 5: DLLWD Most recently they drew with Sudtirol 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.4 for Ascoli and 1.1 for Benevento. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ascoli 44%, draw 23%, Benevento 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 58% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.74, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Ascoli 1–1 Benevento. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ascoli44%fair 2.30 · @2.30
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.00
Benevento33%fair 3.01 · @3.00
2.50Expected goals
1.36Ascoli xG
1.14Benevento xG
58%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Ascoli 1.4 – 1.1 Benevento expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ascoli to win✓
44%
2.30
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.74
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ascoli / FT Ascoli✗
24%
4.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
11%
8.97
–
Form
Ascoli – last 6
DWLWLL
29 Aug
vs Carrarese
1–1
D
23 Aug
@ Hellas Verona
2–1
W
16 Aug
@ Genoa
1–4
L
8 Aug
vs Potenza
3–1
W
2 Aug
vs Lazio
1–2
L
26 Jul
@ Frosinone
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Benevento – last 6
DLLWDW
30 Aug
vs Sudtirol
1–1
D
22 Aug
vs Modena
1–2
L
14 Aug
@ Fiorentina
1–4
L
9 Aug
vs Ravenna
5–3
W
1 Aug
@ Frosinone
2–2
D
31 Jul
@ Vis Pesaro
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ascoli and Benevento.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Ascoli vs Benevento?
On our numbers Ascoli have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Benevento 33%.
How many goals will there be in Ascoli vs Benevento?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ascoli vs Benevento?
Our predicted score is Ascoli 1–1 Benevento, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Ascoli vs Benevento?
Ascoli vs Benevento (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 16:15 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
