Value bet: Deportes Rengo to win @ 2.75 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDeportes Rengo to win ✗39% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.81
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.84
Deportes Rengo vs Santiago Morning preview and prediction
The match
Deportes Rengo host Santiago Morning in the Segunda División on Sunday 6 September, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Estadio Municipal Guillermo Guzman Diaz. Deportes Rengo are 12th with 11 points from 12 games (in the bottom three), while Santiago Morning sit 13th on 10 points (in the bottom three). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Deportes Rengo's last 5: WDWWL Most recently they beat Real San Joaquín 5–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Santiago Morning's last 5: DDWDL Most recently they drew with Provincial Ovalle 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Deportes Rengo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 4 July 2026, finished Deportes Rengo 3–1 Santiago Morning.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.2 for Deportes Rengo and 1.2 for Santiago Morning. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 45%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Deportes Rengo 39%, draw 23%, Santiago Morning 38%.
Value angle: Deportes Rengo to win at 2.75 – 39% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 56% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: Deportes Rengo 1–1 Santiago Morning. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Deportes Rengo39%fair 2.59 · @2.75
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.25
Santiago Morning38%fair 2.61 · @2.25
2.34Expected goals
1.17Deportes Rengo xG
1.17Santiago Morning xG
45%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Deportes Rengo 1.2 – 1.2 Santiago Morning expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Deportes Rengo vs Santiago Morning?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Deportes Rengo vs Santiago Morning?
On our numbers Deportes Rengo have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Santiago Morning 38%.
How many goals will there be in Deportes Rengo vs Santiago Morning?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportes Rengo vs Santiago Morning?
Our predicted score is Deportes Rengo 1–1 Santiago Morning, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Deportes Rengo vs Santiago Morning?
Deportes Rengo vs Santiago Morning (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Guillermo Guzman Diaz.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
