Value bet: Municipal Limeño to win @ 1.76 – our chance 62% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMunicipal Limeño to win ✗62% · @1.76
Double chanceMunicipal Limeño or draw ✓87% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.55
Municipal Limeño vs Fuerte San Francisco preview and prediction
The match
Municipal Limeño host Fuerte San Francisco in the Primera Division on Thursday 5 November, with kick-off at 02:00 (WAT). Municipal Limeño are 8th with 23 points from 20 games (in the bottom half), while Fuerte San Francisco sit 11th on 17 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Municipal Limeño's last 5: DDWLL Most recently they drew with Isidro Metapán 1–1 away. They average 1.7 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Fuerte San Francisco's last 5: LLLWD Most recently they lost to Águila 3–4 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 13 September 2026, finished Fuerte San Francisco 0–2 Municipal Limeño. Across their last 2 meetings Municipal Limeño have won 2, Fuerte San Francisco 0, with 0 draws and 3.5 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.0 for Municipal Limeño and 0.8 for Fuerte San Francisco. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Municipal Limeño 62%, draw 24%, Fuerte San Francisco 13%.
Safer route: Municipal Limeño or draw (87%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Municipal Limeño to win at 1.76 – 62% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.21. Predicted score: Municipal Limeño 2–0 Fuerte San Francisco. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Municipal Limeño62%fair 1.61 · @1.76
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.38
Fuerte San Francisco13%fair 7.49 · @4.08
2.83Expected goals
1.99Municipal Limeño xG
0.85Fuerte San Francisco xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Municipal Limeño 2.0 – 0.8 Fuerte San Francisco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Municipal Limeño vs Fuerte San Francisco?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win Municipal Limeño vs Fuerte San Francisco?
On our numbers Municipal Limeño have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Fuerte San Francisco 13%.
How many goals will there be in Municipal Limeño vs Fuerte San Francisco?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Municipal Limeño vs Fuerte San Francisco?
Our predicted score is Municipal Limeño 2–0 Fuerte San Francisco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Municipal Limeño vs Fuerte San Francisco?
Municipal Limeño vs Fuerte San Francisco (Primera Division) kicks off on Thursday 5 November 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
